500
FXUS64 KEWX 061806
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1206 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TO NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RELIEF FROM THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
FOR THE WEEKEND AND START OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
A DRYLINE IS MOVING INTO THE HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE
SOME LIGHT RADAR ECHOES IN ITS VICINITY, BUT PROBABLY NOT ANY
MEASURABLE RAIN. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT ARE MUCH LOWER.
THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST, BUT ONLY REACH AROUND
THE I- 35 CORRIDOR. SO FOR TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOWER
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY, EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND NORTHERN I-35
CORRIDOR, BUT REMAIN VERY WARM OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND
SOUTHERN I-35 CORRIDOR. WE SHOULD ALSO SEE A REPEAT OF AREAS OF
FOG IN THE WARM, MOIST AIR. ANOTHER DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS
POSSIBLE. THE DRYLINE WILL RETREAT BACK TO THE NORTH AND ALLOW THE
WARM, MOIST AIR TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY MAY BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER THAN TODAY AND LOWS
THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR RECORD WARM.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
THURSDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND TURN THE FLOW OVER TEXAS TO THE SOUTHWEST. ANOTHER
DRYLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AND MAY OR MAY NOT GET INTO
OUR NORTHERN AREA. IT LOOKS LIKE ANY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
BOUNDARY WILL STAY NORTH OF OUR CWA AND WE WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM,
MOIST AIR WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. FRIDAY THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR CWA. THIS
WILL BRING SOME LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN TO THE AREA EAST OF HWY 281. IT
WILL ALSO BRING RELIEF FROM THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES. COOLER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE
WEEKEND AND START OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE LIFTED/SCATTERED OUT TO VFR AT ALL SITES AS
OF LATE THIS MORNING. SOME SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WILL
PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN AT OR
BELOW 10KTS. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SURGES BACK TO THE NORTH LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS AT KSAT AND KSSF. FOR NOW, WE WILL COVER THIS SCENARIO WITH
TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS. WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST VFR AT AUS AND FARTHER
WEST AT DRT AS CONFIDENCE IS LOWER IN LOW CLOUD AND FOG DEVELOPMENT.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RETURN TO ALL SITES BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 55 80 65 81 / 0 0 10 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52 80 65 81 / 0 0 10 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 56 80 63 80 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 52 78 62 77 / 0 0 10 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 52 83 60 79 / 0 0 10 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 51 80 65 79 / 0 0 10 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 54 81 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 54 81 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 57 82 66 82 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 59 80 64 80 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 59 81 64 81 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...PLATT
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