626
FXUS64 KEWX 062321
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
521 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TO NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RELIEF FROM THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
FOR THE WEEKEND AND START OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
A DRYLINE IS MOVING INTO THE HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE ARE
SOME LIGHT RADAR ECHOES IN ITS VICINITY, BUT PROBABLY NOT ANY
MEASURABLE RAIN. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT ARE MUCH LOWER.
THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST, BUT ONLY REACH AROUND
THE I- 35 CORRIDOR. SO FOR TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOWER
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY, EDWARDS PLATEAU, AND NORTHERN I-35
CORRIDOR, BUT REMAIN VERY WARM OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND
SOUTHERN I-35 CORRIDOR. WE SHOULD ALSO SEE A REPEAT OF AREAS OF
FOG IN THE WARM, MOIST AIR. ANOTHER DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS
POSSIBLE. THE DRYLINE WILL RETREAT BACK TO THE NORTH AND ALLOW THE
WARM, MOIST AIR TO RETURN TO THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY MAY BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER THAN TODAY AND LOWS
THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR RECORD WARM.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
THURSDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND TURN THE FLOW OVER TEXAS TO THE SOUTHWEST. ANOTHER
DRYLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AND MAY OR MAY NOT GET INTO
OUR NORTHERN AREA. IT LOOKS LIKE ANY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
BOUNDARY WILL STAY NORTH OF OUR CWA AND WE WILL REMAIN IN THE WARM,
MOIST AIR WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. FRIDAY THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
PROGRESS TO THE EAST AND PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR CWA. THIS
WILL BRING SOME LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN TO THE AREA EAST OF HWY 281. IT
WILL ALSO BRING RELIEF FROM THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES. COOLER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE
WEEKEND AND START OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 513 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS BEGIN THE PERIOD UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
WITH FEW HIGH CLOUDS. HOWEVER, LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SURGES BACK TO
THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING RESULTING IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CLOUDS WITH IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS AND FOG FOR
GENERALLY ALONG A LINE FROM KGYB TO KBAZ TO KSAT TO KHDO AND
POINTS SOUTH/EAST. LIKE THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER, WILL ELECT TO
LEAVE THE FORECAST VFR AT AUS AND FARTHER WEST AT DRT AS
CONFIDENCE IS LOWER IN LOW CLOUD AND FOG DEVELOPMENT. VFR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS RETURN TO ALL AREAS BY AROUND MIDDAY. THE WINDS WILL
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE
INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON AT 10-12 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 55 80 65 81 / 0 0 10 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52 80 65 81 / 0 0 10 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 56 80 63 80 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 52 78 62 77 / 0 0 10 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 52 83 60 79 / 0 0 10 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 51 80 65 79 / 0 0 10 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 54 81 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 54 81 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 57 82 66 82 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 59 80 64 80 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 59 81 64 81 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...62
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