891
FXUS64 KEWX 111831
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1231 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S OVER MOST AREAS
- LOW CHANCES (LESS THAN 25 PERCENT) FOR RAIN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU. CHANCES (30-50 PERCENT) FOR RAIN INCREASING LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 60S AND 70S FOR WEDNESDAY
- A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON
FRIDAY BRINGING TEMPERATURES TO BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR NEXT
WEEKEND
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
HIGH CLOUDS ARE COVERING SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS TREND CONTINUES FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. TODAY'S
HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE UPPER 50S OVER PARTS OF VAL VERDE
COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND LOWER TO MID 60S
ELSEWHERE. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHING UP BETWEEN NORTHEAST
MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS PLAINS MAY BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE, BUT FROM THE SURFACE TO ABOUT 10KFT IS DRY,
AND LIKELY EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. HOWEVER, LATER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING, ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL PULSE OF ENERGY
IS FORECAST TO PUSH FROM NORTHEAST MEXICO INTO THE RIO GRANDE AND
PRODUCES LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY AS THE MID LEVEL ATMOSPHERE
MOISTENS. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE NOT AS COLD AS OF LAST NIGHT WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO THE UPPER
30S AND LOWER 40S FOR THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
THE PULSE OF ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY ON MONDAY MORNING AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
THERE. OTHERWISE, STAYS DRY FOR THE MOST PART MONDAY AFTERNOON UNDER
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID 50S TO MID 60S.
CAN'T TOTALLY RULE OUT A PASSING SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
RIO GRANDE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER PULSE OF ENERGY TRAVELS
ACROSS THAT REGION.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
CHANCES FOR RAIN INCREASE ON MONDAY EVENING ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND
THEN INTO THE HILL COUNTRY AND AREAS ALONG HIGHWAY 281 THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF WEST TEXAS. THE UPPER LOW
IS FORECAST TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OPENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. A CLOUDY START OF THE DAY ACROSS ALL AREAS TURNS
PARTLY CLOUDY FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE UPPER LOW EXITS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. ANOTHER COOL DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE LOCAL AREA WITH HIGHS IN
THE 50S AND 60S.
NORTHWEST FLOW LOFT TAKES OVER THE LOCAL AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING AND CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY TO END CHANCES OF RAIN.
A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND
BRINGS BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE REGION. HIGHS ARE FORECAST
TO REACH THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND 70S AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH THE COASTAL PLAINS.
MUCH COOLER ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE A STRONGER COLD FRONT
PUSHES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY EVENING. THE AIRMASS IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT STAYS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LOWS REACHING LOWER
TO MID 30S MOST LOCATIONS ON SUNDAY MORNING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY WIND FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY. HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WILL GRADUALLY LOWER
INTO TOMORROW MORNING TO AROUND 5-10KFT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
DRY AIR REMAINS INTACT TODAY LEADING TO MINIMUM AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY LEVELS OF NEAR 15 TO 25 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 5 TO NEAR 10 MPH RANGE FOR MOST AREAS
FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
TREND UPWARD ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 40 64 44 62 / 0 10 10 10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 38 63 43 61 / 0 0 10 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 40 62 43 61 / 0 10 20 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 38 61 40 60 / 0 10 10 10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 44 60 45 60 / 20 10 50 10
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 37 63 42 59 / 0 0 10 10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 41 61 43 60 / 10 20 30 10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 38 63 43 62 / 0 10 20 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 39 63 43 61 / 0 0 10 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 43 62 46 60 / 0 10 30 20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 43 64 46 61 / 0 10 30 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...27
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page