243
FXUS64 KEWX 130608
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1208 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PLENTY OF CLOUDS TODAY ALONG WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK,
EXCEPT FOR A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
WATER VAPOR AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER
NORTHERN MEXICO INTO FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD TODAY AND PROVIDE A LOW
CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MOISTURE LEVELS
AND LIFT NEAR THE LOW WILL BE HIGHER ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND WE WILL REFLECT THE BEST CHANCE
OF RAIN ACROSS THESE AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR
LESS THAN 0.10" OVER THE MENTIONED AREAS, WITH A TRACE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH FARTHER EAST. WHILE THE LOWER LEVELS DO
MOISTEN SOMEWHAT, A DRY SUBCLOUD LAYER WILL LIMIT RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS LATER TODAY.
RAIN CHANCES END FAIRLY QUICKLY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS DRY AND STABLE
AIR ALOFT MOVES IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW. CLOUDS WILL HELP
KEEP DAYTIME HIGHS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY. A QUICK WARM-
UP TAKES SHAPE WEDNESDAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE DRY AIR AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S, WITH THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
A DRY AND STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS INTO THURSDAY AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION. SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURN TO MOST AREAS LATE IN THE DAY, BUT LOOK FOR HIGHS TO
REMAIN VERY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR MID-JANUARY. HIGHS
ON FRIDAY WILL TREND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL, BUT ANOTHER COLD FRONT
MOVES IN BY LATE AFTERNOON. WE CONTINUE TO SEE SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES AND MAY OPT TO GO A LITTLE LOWER THAN THE NBM ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES.
TEMPERATURE TRENDS REMAIN FAIRLY FLAT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE PATTERN FAVORS AN OCCASIONAL
WEAK SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVING DOWN THE HIGH PLAINS. FOR NOW, IT
APPEARS THE COLDEST AIR REMAINS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF OUR REGION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
VFR FLYING CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH AREAS OF CIGS ABOVE FL050. WIDELY
SCT SHRA ALONG THE RIO GRANDE WILL MOVE OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. HAVE MAINTAINED THE
PROB30S WITH RESPECT TO TIMING. CANNOT RULE OUT A BRIEF LOWER CIG OR
VSBY SHOULD THE LOWER LEVELS MOISTEN ENOUGH. LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS
WILL BECOME MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 64 46 69 39 / 20 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 64 43 69 35 / 20 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 63 43 70 37 / 20 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 61 42 63 33 / 20 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 63 41 73 39 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 63 43 66 35 / 20 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 63 39 72 37 / 20 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 64 43 70 37 / 20 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 63 43 70 38 / 20 10 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 63 45 70 40 / 20 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 64 43 72 41 / 30 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...PLATT
LONG TERM....PLATT
AVIATION...04
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page