674
FXUS64 KEWX 142340 AAA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
540 PM CST WED JAN 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION (00Z TAFS)
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
- BREEZY NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH FOR
THE REST OF TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. CAN'T RULE OUT A
FEW HIGHER GUSTS REPORTS. CLOSELY MONITORING WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA.
- ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS GETTING INTO THE UPPER 60S AND MID 70S BEFORE
THE FRONT ARRIVES
- SEVERAL POCKETS OF DRIER AIRMASS TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY WITH SUNDAY'S LOWS GETTING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S AND
LOWER 30S
- RAIN CHANCES ARE ON THE WAY FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST WED JAN 14 2026
A COLD FRONT IS PUSHING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AS OF 12 PM CST.
IT IS A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER, ALREADY SAW EARLIER
REPORTS OF PREVAILING WINDS OF 26 TO 30 MPH AT A FEW SURFACE
WEATHER STATIONS AND A REPORT OF 45 MPH AT BURNET MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT AND A SECOND REPORT OF 46 MPH AT SAN ANTONIO/STINSON
AIRPORT. THEREFORE, A FEW PREVAILING WIND REPORTS OF 26+ MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO 45+ MPH GUST REPORTS CAN'T BE RULED OUT
THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. WE ARE CLOSELY MONITORING THE
WINDS IN CASE OF NEEDING TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF
THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THESE CONDITIONS IN PLACE, WE UPDATED AND
EXPANDED THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
FOR NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE, DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST FOR THE LOCAL
AREA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY OVERNIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. A BIT COOLER ON THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S MOST AREAS AND LOWER 70S ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE UNDER SUNNY SKIES. OVERNIGHT FORECAST LOWS/FRIDAY MORNING
RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST WED JAN 14 2026
ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, IT COULD GET
BREEZY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING INTO THE 20S.
THAT BEING SAID, ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
NEED TO CLOSELY BE MONITORED. DRY AND COOLER AIRMASS STAYS IN PLACE
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SOME SIGNALS OF POCKETS OF DRIER AIR PUSHING
ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THEREFORE,
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. UNDER CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY MORNING, FORECAST LOWS ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SIT BETWEEN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S.
CHANGES ARE ON THE WAY FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS FAR AS RAIN
FORECAST IS CONCERNED AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA AND INTERACT WITH GULF MOISTURE. AT THIS TIME, PORTIONS OF THE
HILL COUNTRY, AREAS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL PLAINS ARE
FAVORED TO RECEIVE AT LEAST ONE TENTH OF AN INCH THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOISTURE LIKES TO LINGER AROUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF WATERS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 PM CST WED JAN 14 2026
WINDS SHOULD RAPIDLY DROP OFF AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, WITH
GUSTS ENDING AT AUS, SAT, AND SSF BY 02Z AND AT DRT BY 01Z. WINDS
WILL REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN
SHIFT QUICKLY BACK TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. VFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE BOARD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 38 65 45 72 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 36 65 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 37 65 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 34 64 44 66 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 40 71 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 34 64 45 69 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 36 66 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 36 66 42 73 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 36 62 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 40 65 44 72 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 40 66 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...MMM
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