394
FXUS64 KEWX 062336
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
536 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
WEEK
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR RAIN MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
FAIRLY QUIET WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM AS
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT WAS LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR
AREA SLIDES OVER US BY TOMORROW. AS THAT HAPPENS WE SHOULD SEE
LOWS TONIGHT AREAWIDE IN THE 40S. BY SATURDAY, IN RESPONSE WE
SHOULD SEE TEMPS SOAR INTO THE UPPER 70S TO EVEN THE LOW 80S IN
ISOLATED SPOTS AS WE SEE PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE FOR MOST OF THE DAY
ALONG WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW HELPING TO BOOST TEMPS. WE
COULD SEE MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FILTER IN ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE FROM UPPER LEVEL FLOW TRIES TO MAKE ITS WAY TOWARD US.
BY SATURDAY NIGHT WE SHOULD SEE STRONG UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS OUR
AREA HELPING TO BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ALLOWING TEMPS TO
REMAIN MILD OVERNIGHT WITH MANY REMAINING IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW
50S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SUNDAY WE SEE HIGH TEMPS DIP A BIT DUE THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER
OUT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM THATS LOCATED OVER THE BAJA
PENINSULA. EVENTUALLY THIS SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO TEXAS BY MID TO LATE MONDAY. THERE ARE
STILL SOME QUESTION MARKS REGARDING THE SPEED AND TIMING OF THIS
SYSTEM, THE GFS HAS THE SYSTEM ARRIVING FASTER THUS NOT ALLOWING
FOR ANYTHING BUT A BRIEF SHOT OF RAINFALL BEFORE DEPARTING OFF TO
THE EAST. THE EURO ON THE OTHER HAND IS MUCH SLOWER AND DEVELOPS
THE SYSTEM INTO AN OPEN WAVE THUS SITTING OVER OUR AREA SLIGHTLY
LONGER AND GIVING US A BETTER CHANCE OF QPF. DECIDED TO REMAIN IN
BETWEEN THE TWO SCENARIOS UNTIL WE SEE MORE CONSISTENT SIGNALS IN
THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE. HIGHS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER MAINLY IN
THE 70S DURING THIS PERIOD WITH LOWS IN THE 50S. LOOKING AHEAD
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TRIES TO REESTABLISH ITSELF BEFORE ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE MAY IMPACT OUR AREA JUST OUTSIDE THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 532 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
SKIES SHOULD BE NEARLY CLOUD-FREE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. LIGHT
WINDS TONIGHT SHOULD TRANSITION BACK TO S/SE WINDS FOR ALL AREAS
BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 48 79 51 77 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 46 80 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 46 80 48 75 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 46 76 49 75 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 45 80 51 74 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 46 78 50 76 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 45 80 48 75 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 46 81 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 46 79 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 49 80 51 75 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 48 81 51 77 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...18
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