426
FXUS64 KEWX 181116
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
516 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY COOLER
TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY OVER WESTERN COUNTIES; THEN NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
INCREASING CLOUDS AND WARM FEBRUARY LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S
ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS LIGHTEN UP BY SUNRISE BUT THE
DIRECTION REMAINS VARIABLE WITH MORE OF A NORTH TO EAST WIND IN THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA AND A SOUTH TO WEST WIND IN THE EAST. A WELL
DEFINED DRYLINE PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS
MORNING AND INTO THE HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND IS FORECAST
TO BE LIGHTER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY, THOUGH LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STILL EXIST FOR LOCATIONS THAT FIND
THEMSELVES WEST OF THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL
SHIFT BACK WEST TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER CLOUDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM
NIGHT EXPECTED. ANOTHER SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY BRINGING THE DRYLINE/PACIFIC
FRONT BACK INTO THE AREA THIS TIME PUSHING EVEN FURTHER EAST.
FORTUNATELY WIND LOOKS TO STILL BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO TEMPER ANY
WIDESPREAD FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THOUGH LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL
BE IN THE 80S, WITH SOME LOCATIONS IN THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
POTENTIALLY HITTING 90 DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
FRIDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS DAY BEFORE A FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THERE
COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE THOUGH MOST MODELS KEEP PRECIPITATION CLOSER
TO THE COAST OR EAST OF THE AREA DURING THIS TIME. DRY AIR AND
BREEZY WIND IS EXPECTED SATURDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH AT LEAST ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THIS DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER SATURDAY,
BUT WE'LL SEE A BIGGER COOL DOWN BACK INTO THE 60S AND LOW 70S FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS MAY STILL BE BREEZY SUNDAY FROM THE HILL
COUNTRY EAST, BUT THEN RELAX FOR MONDAY FOR MOST AREAS AS WE HAVE
MORE INFLUENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. SOUTHERLY WIND RETURNS TO
THE AREA BY TUESDAY WITH BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT TO SEE A QUICK WARM UP TUESDAY INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED FEB 18 2026
MVFR CIGS ARE OVER PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY TO ACROSS THE I-35
CORRIDOR TO NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. A DRYLINE IS FILTERING INTO THE
AREA BRINGING DRY MAINLY NORTHERLY WINDS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE
ESCARPMENT. THESE WINDS AND MIXING WILL ERODE THE CIGS/VSBYS TO VFR
BY MIDDAY. THE DRYLINE RETREATS TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT ALLOWING
MAINLY MVFR CIGS TO RETURN TO MOST AREAS. THE DRYLINE DRIFTS BACK
ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA THURSDAY AND WITH MIXING THE CIGS WILL ERODE
TO VFR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 83 64 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 83 62 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 82 61 84 58 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 81 59 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 85 56 87 55 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 83 62 83 54 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 83 58 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 83 61 85 58 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 81 64 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 82 61 84 60 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 82 62 85 61 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...04
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