811
FNUS74 KEWX 251303
FWSEWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIELD RANCH -TRAINING - TC02...TRAVIS COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
703 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH A
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THROUGH 8 PM.
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AS
HUMIDITY DROPS INTO THE MID-20S. WINDS RELAX SLIGHTLY TONIGHT BUT
ISOLATED GUSTS MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. MODERATE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BUT HUMIDITY DROPS AGAIN TOMORROW
BEHIND A FRONT THAT MOVES ACROSS THE FIRE LOCATION MID TO LATE
MORNING. WIND SHIFTS FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT.
SUNNY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND
TOMORROW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (73300 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 23 16 12 13 13 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............72 77 82 85 86 87 86
RH..............53 43 35 30 28 26 27
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 13 13 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25 24 24 24 23 23 22
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 7 6
EYE LVL WND GST.15 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.4 2.7 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 22 21 18 16 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..38 47 57 65 71 73 60
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 15 9 2 3 3 4 7 9 10 11 23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 79 74 71 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 61
RH..............30 34 40 42 47 52 56 58 60 60 62 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 17 16 16 16 15 15 16 16 15 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.12 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST MID MORNING
UP TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO GOOD (36100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 14 14 13 14 14 15 12 9 6 7 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 61 65 70 74 79 82 84 85 85 84 83
RH..............64 65 56 49 43 36 34 31 30 30 30 31
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W NW NW N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW W W NW NW N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.9 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.2 3.4 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W NW N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 7 11 16 20 24 30 35 36 29 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...27
REQUESTED BY...GLEN GILLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603924.0/EWX
.DELDT 02/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GLEN.GILLMAN@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV
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