642  
FNUS74 KEWX 160025  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY FORREST...SHVFD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
725 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON MARCH 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT MONDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
STRONG NORTH POST-FRONTAL WINDS ARE NOW SPREADING  
ACROSS THE REGION WITH CRITICALLY DRY HUMIDITIES. SUSTAINED WINDS  
OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
TEMPERATURES COOL RAPIDLY INTO THE 30S TONIGHT. HOWEVER, MOISTURE  
RECOVERY WILL BE POOR, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY ONLY REBOUNDING TO  
AROUND 35 TO 45 PERCENT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER  
MIDNIGHT BUT REMAIN GUSTY WITH SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS EXCEEDING 10  
MPH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AND BEGIN TO  
ROTATE TO EASTERLIES MONDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH  
COOLER MONDAY, BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO AGAIN  
DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
27 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 22 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 33 TO 40 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 43 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (23300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........7 6 5 9 14 21 16 25 24 24  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 69 65 61 58 55 53 50 47 46  
RH..............31 32 30 30 28 26 26 28 28 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..28 29 28 29 29 29 29 28 26 26  
20 FT WIND GUST.40 41 43 44 44 45 44 41 39 38  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16  
EYE LVL WND GST.24 25 26 26 26 27 26 25 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 36 39 40 43 43 41 40 38 35  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 34 40 52 73 85 89 96 94 77  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 13 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 21 17 25 37 30 33 38 45 54 61 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 43 43 42 45 48 50 53 54 56 55 56  
RH..............28 28 27 26 25 22 20 18 18 17 18 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..24 22 22 22 22 22 21 18 17 17 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.36 33 35 33 32 31 30 26 26 24 23 23  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 13 13 13 13 13 13 11 10 10 9 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.22 20 21 20 19 19 18 16 16 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.8 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 30 29 28 26 25 25 24 23 22 21 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..54 41 48 64 73 75 86 86 83 78 75 60  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD FR  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AROUND 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........74 80 70 75 80 69 57 46 39 31 24 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 54 53 51 49 48 46 45 43 42 40 38  
RH..............17 18 18 21 23 24 26 27 29 30 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 16 14 13 10 9 8 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 11 10 8 8 6 5 5 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.2 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 13 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 33 25 13 8 7 4 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 24 18 12 6 5 4 3 3 4 4 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 37 39 43 47 52 56 60 62 63 64 64  
RH..............37 37 35 30 27 24 20 18 18 18 18 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 10 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.7 5.2 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 5 11 14 18 30 34 43 54 65 56  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...62  
REQUESTED BY...K HALLMARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2605874.0/EWX  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KB4.HALLMARK@SANDHILLSVFD.ORG  
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