498  
FNUS74 KEWX 160253  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY FORREST...SHVFD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
953 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 CDT ON MARCH 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT MONDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RH VALUES WILL REMAIN STEADY OR WILL SLOWLY FALL THROUGH TONIGHT AS  
LOWER DEW POINT TEMPERATURES KEEP PACE WITH THE FALLING AMBIENT  
TEMPERATURES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND WIND GUSTS OF 40  
TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING INTO THE  
OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES COOL RAPIDLY INTO THE 30S TONIGHT.  
HOWEVER, MOISTURE WILL NOT RECOVER AS THE CURRENT RH VALUES WILL  
LIKELY BE A FEW PERCENT HIGHER THAN THAT EXPECTED AT DAYBREAK, OR  
AROUND 28 PERCENT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT BUT  
REMAIN GUSTY WITH SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS EXCEEDING 10 MPH THROUGH  
MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AND BEGIN TO ROTATE TO  
EASTERLIES MONDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER  
MONDAY, BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO AGAIN DROP  
BELOW 20 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 21 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
44 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (128800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO GOOD (36600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 9 14 23 17 25 25 23  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 61 58 55 53 50 47 46  
RH..............30 30 28 26 26 28 28 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..28 28 29 29 28 26 26 25  
20 FT WIND GUST.41 43 44 44 43 41 39 38  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.17 17 17 17 17 16 16 15  
EYE LVL WND GST.25 26 26 26 26 25 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.37 39 40 40 39 38 37 35  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 60 104 129 122 108 96 79  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD GD GD  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (46600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 22 17 25 36 28 35 39 43 53 58 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 43 43 42 45 48 50 53 54 55 55 56  
RH..............28 28 27 26 25 22 20 18 18 18 18 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 22 22 22 22 22 21 18 17 16 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.36 33 33 33 32 32 30 26 26 24 23 23  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 13 13 13 13 13 13 11 10 10 9 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.22 20 20 20 19 19 18 16 16 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.8 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 30 29 28 26 26 25 24 23 22 21 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 47 54 68 73 75 86 86 83 78 75 60  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD FR  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AROUND 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........72 80 71 75 79 68 57 46 39 31 24 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 54 52 50 49 48 46 45 43 42 40 38  
RH..............17 18 19 20 22 23 26 27 29 30 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 16 14 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 11 10 8 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.2 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 13 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 33 25 14 8 6 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 26 20 13 7 6 4 3 3 4 4 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 37 39 43 47 52 56 60 62 63 64 64  
RH..............37 37 34 29 26 23 20 18 18 18 18 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 10 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.8 5.3 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 5 11 14 18 30 34 43 54 65 56  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...18  
REQUESTED BY...K HALLMARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2605883.0/EWX  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KB4.HALLMARK@SANDHILLSVFD.ORG  
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