277
FXUS64 KEWX 270519 CCA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1219 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING MUCH COOLER AIR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
- RAPID RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
- HOPES FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN MAY RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
THE LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOWCASE A FASTER AND
MUCH STRONGER FRONT THAN GLOBAL GUIDANCE HAS HAD PREVIOUSLY UP TO
THIS POINT, PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE LATEST TIMING INDICATES THE FRONT WILL ENTER
THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU BETWEEN 17-18Z AND MAKE IT TO
THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY 23-00Z. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A RATHER STARK
TEMPERATURE CONTRAST FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN 60S
WEST, AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S EAST. GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG AND BEHIND THIS FRONT INTO THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE, BUT
SHOULDN'T BE OUTRAGEOUSLY STRONG LIKE THEY'VE BEEN WITH SOME OF
OUR MORE RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGES. SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE THINGS DRY OUT IN THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF 60S WEST, BUT REMAIN IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S EAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S. WARMER AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES MONDAY
AND TUESDAY, BUT BY MIDWEEK, THINGS MAY FINALLY GET INTERESTING AS
A MID- LEVEL SHORTWAVE SWINGS THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS MAY SPARK SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG ANOTHER FRONT, BUT THIS
TIME IT WON'T BE AS TIGHT A GRADIENT. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, AN ACTIVE
PATTERN MAY RETURN FOR THE SECOND WEEK OF APRIL, BUT FOR NOW, WE
WILL AT LEAST HOPE FOR SOMETHING OUT OF WEDNESDAY'S STORM SYSTEM.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS BEGIN THE PERIOD BUT THIS IS SHORT LIVED AS
LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP AND EXPAND ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT FOR MVFR
CEILINGS TO ESTABLISH AT THE I-35 TAF SITES (KAUS, KSAT, AND
KSSF) BY AROUND 08 OR 09Z. LOW CLOUDS MAY APPROACH THE RIO GRANDE
WHERE BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS MAY DEVELOP AT KDRT NEAR OR JUST AFTER
SUNRISE. VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS RETURN FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT THEN ARRIVES FROM THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THIS WILL TURN AND INCREASE WINDS OUT
OF THE NORTH. THE WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY WITH GUSTS INTO THE 25
TO 35 KT RANGE THROUGHOUT THE ENDING PORTION OF THE TAF PERIOD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 15 KT. BEHIND THE FRONT, LOW CLOUDS
INCREASE AND MVFR CEILINGS SETTLE IN, EARLIEST AT KAUS AND KDRT
FOLLOWED BY KSAT AND KSSF AROUND 00Z. HAVENT'T ADDED ANY MENTION
IN THIS TAF PACKAGE BUT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY ESTABLISH FROM THE
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FOR LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTH
AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING CONSISTING OF BREEZY POST-FRONTAL NORTH WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, THE CLOUD COVER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
IMMEDIATELY ARRIVING IN THE WAKE OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACTUALLY
ACT TO KEEP RH VALUES MORE ELEVATED, LIMITING THE FIRE WEATHER
RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY
WHERE THE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOWEST IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE
WILL FEATURE LIGHTER PRE-FRONTAL SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 MPH OR
LESS. BEYOND SATURDAY, AS THE TEMPERATURES WARM, EXPECT SOME
MODERATE TO LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES WITH MINIMUM RH AS LOW AS THE 25 TO 35% RANGE
AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS RETURNING OUT OF THE SOUTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 87 54 67 54 / 0 20 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 87 55 68 54 / 0 20 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 88 56 72 54 / 0 10 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 77 50 61 52 / 10 20 20 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 77 54 68 58 / 10 30 20 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 81 53 63 54 / 10 20 10 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 86 55 71 56 / 0 10 10 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 88 55 72 55 / 0 10 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 88 58 73 54 / 0 10 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 86 56 70 57 / 0 10 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 88 58 74 58 / 0 10 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...62
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