223
FXUS64 KEWX 271740
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1240 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING MUCH COOLER AIR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
- RAPID RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
- HOPES FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN MAY RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
THE LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOWCASE A FASTER AND
MUCH STRONGER FRONT THAN GLOBAL GUIDANCE HAS HAD PREVIOUSLY UP TO
THIS POINT, PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU. THE LATEST TIMING INDICATES THE FRONT WILL ENTER
THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU BETWEEN 17-18Z AND MAKE IT TO
THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY 23-00Z. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A RATHER STARK
TEMPERATURE CONTRAST FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN 60S
WEST, AND THE MID TO UPPER 80S EAST. GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG AND BEHIND THIS FRONT INTO THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE, BUT
SHOULDN'T BE OUTRAGEOUSLY STRONG LIKE THEY'VE BEEN WITH SOME OF
OUR MORE RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGES. SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE THINGS DRY OUT IN THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF 60S WEST, BUT REMAIN IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S EAST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S. WARMER AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES MONDAY
AND TUESDAY, BUT BY MIDWEEK, THINGS MAY FINALLY GET INTERESTING AS
A MID- LEVEL SHORTWAVE SWINGS THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS MAY SPARK SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG ANOTHER FRONT, BUT THIS
TIME IT WON'T BE AS TIGHT A GRADIENT. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, AN ACTIVE
PATTERN MAY RETURN FOR THE SECOND WEEK OF APRIL, BUT FOR NOW, WE
WILL AT LEAST HOPE FOR SOMETHING OUT OF WEDNESDAY'S STORM SYSTEM.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
TRICKY FORECAST AS THE FRONT HAS SPED UP SIGNIFICANTLY WHICH HAS
MOVED UP THE TIMING FOR GUSTY WIND AND LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THIS
FEATURE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND BEHIND THE FRONT WILL INCREASE
FAIRLY QUICKLY WITH GUSTS FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS EXPECTED. LOW CLOUDS
ARE ALSO SEEN BEHIND THE FRONT, THOUGH THERE ARE SOME PATCHES OF
CLEARER SKIES WHICH MAY BE SEEN OFF AND ON BEFORE WIDESPREAD STRATUS
MOVES OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND LINGERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
WIND REMAINS GUSTY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKEN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES
MAY ALSO BE SEEN OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY, FAVORED FROM THE HILL
COUNTRY AND AREAS WEST. DUE TO THE SPOTTY NATURE OF ANY
PRECIPITATION, HAVE EXCLUDED THE MENTION OF IT IN THIS FORECAST.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING CONSISTING OF BREEZY POST-FRONTAL NORTH WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, THE CLOUD COVER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
IMMEDIATELY ARRIVING IN THE WAKE OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACTUALLY
ACT TO KEEP RH VALUES MORE ELEVATED, LIMITING THE FIRE WEATHER
RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY
WHERE THE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOWEST IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE
WILL FEATURE LIGHTER PRE-FRONTAL SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 MPH OR
LESS. BEYOND SATURDAY, AS THE TEMPERATURES WARM, EXPECT SOME
MODERATE TO LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES WITH MINIMUM RH AS LOW AS THE 25 TO 35% RANGE
AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS RETURNING OUT OF THE SOUTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 55 70 55 83 / 10 10 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 55 71 53 83 / 10 10 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 55 71 53 83 / 10 10 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 50 63 51 80 / 20 10 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 53 69 56 84 / 20 20 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 53 68 53 83 / 10 10 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 54 71 52 85 / 10 10 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 55 71 53 83 / 10 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 57 72 54 83 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 57 70 55 83 / 10 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 58 72 57 84 / 10 10 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...27
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