828
FXUS64 KEWX 280547
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1247 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH COOLER TODAY BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.
- RAPID RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH OUR CWA AND HAS JUST MOVED OUT OF
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA. STRONG, GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE
MOVED IN BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE WINDS ARE BRINGING COOLER, DIRER
AIR. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT ARE 20-25 DEGREES COOLER THAN
24 HOURS AGO AND DEWPOINTS ARE 10-15 DEGREES LOWER. THE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING, AND CONTINUE TO BRING
COOLER AIR. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE AS MUCH AS 20+ DEGREES
COOLER THAN FRIDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. THERE IS ENOUGH
ISENTROPIC LIFT WITH OVERRUNNING FROM THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS INTO
THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY FOR LIGHT RAIN TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND LAST THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY. ANY RAIN WON'T
AMOUNT TO MUCH. WINDS WILL CALM DOWN THIS EVENING AND TEMPERATURES
OVERNIGHT WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN THE LAST WEEK OR SO. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 50S OVER MOST OF THE CWA. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
RETURN SUNDAY BEGINNING THE NEXT WARM UP.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LEADING TO A WARMING TREND OVER THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS WILL BE BACK IN THE 90S FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH DRY
WEATHER. MODELS ARE SHOWING A PATTERN CHANGE STARTING MID-WEEK.
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY A DRYLINE MAY GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THEN AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. RIGHT NOW THIS LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST CHANCE WE'VE HAD FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN IN QUITE SOME
TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
MVFR CEILINGS WILL PRIMARILY TREND ACROSS THE REGION AND THE AREA
TAF SITES THROUGHOUT THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE AND UP INTO THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND THE
HILL COUNTRY, ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD ALLOW FOR LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE TO ESTABLISH OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT
MIDDAY. ADDED PROB30 AT KDRT FOR -RA AS A RESULT. THE RAIN CHANCE
SHOULD REMAIN WEST AND NORTH OF THE I-35 TERMINALS AND HAVE LEFT
RAIN OUT OF THE TAFS FOR KAUS, KSAT, AND KSSF. CONDITIONS WILL
SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR INTO AND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. KAUS WOULD
LIKELY BE THE FASTEST TO IMPROVE AND KDRT THE SLOWEST. OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY WILL SEE MVFR CEILINGS ESTABLISH FOR
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION, INCLUDING AT KSAT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 67 55 85 63 / 10 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 68 54 85 62 / 10 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 70 54 85 61 / 10 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 62 50 81 60 / 20 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 64 56 85 63 / 30 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 64 52 83 61 / 10 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 68 54 86 60 / 20 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 69 53 84 61 / 10 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 73 54 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 69 56 83 63 / 10 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 71 57 86 63 / 10 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...62
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