341
FXUS64 KEWX 291051
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
551 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW STRATUS THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE REGION WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH
AND WEST OF SAN ANTONIO
- RAPID RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 401 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
SHORT TERM GUIDANCE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS HAS BECOME A LITTLE
LESS BULLISH ON THE FOG, WITH FOCUS NOW MAINLY SOUTH AND WEST OF
SAN ANTONIO. A DECK OF LOW STRATUS WILL STILL FAVOR THE CENTRAL
TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE COUNTRY TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE IS PRODUCING
LIGHT TO NEAR CALM WINDS. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CWA ARE IN THE
50S AND 60S AND DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 40S AND 50S. THE LIGHT WINDS
AND JUST ENOUGH SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR A LOW
STRATUS DECK AND PERHAPS SOME PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING, FAVORING A
REGION FROM ROCKSPRINGS THROUGH THE SAN ANTONIO METRO TO NEAR
CUERO. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL RETURN TODAY BEGINNING THE NEXT
WARM UP. ONCE THIS FLOW IS ESTABLISHED, IT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS PERIOD. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER DRY, AND
TEMPERATURE WILL WARM EACH PERIOD. BACK INTO THE 80S TODAY AND
SOME 90S MONDAY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS WILL BE BACK IN THE 90S TUESDAY EXCEPT IN HILL COUNTRY AND
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE. MODELS ARE
SHOWING A PATTERN CHANGE STARTING MID-WEEK. WEDNESDAY A DRYLINE
MAY GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THEN AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. RIGHT NOW
THIS LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE WE'VE HAD FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN IN
QUITE SOME TIME. AFTER A BREAK ON FRIDAY ANOTHER, POSSIBLY
STRONGER, FRONT WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
RAIN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 544 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
A LOW STRATUS DECK WITH MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS HAS ESTABLISHED OVER
THE CENTRAL HALF OF THE REGION, INCLUDING AT KSAT AND KSSF. THE
STRATUS WILL SLOWLY BUILD WESTWARD AND MAY BRING MVFR CEILINGS
BRIEFLY TO KDRT AFTER SUNRISE. KAUS STAYS VFR AS THESE LOW CLOUDS
STAY TO THE WEST. THE SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IS NOW LESS BULLISH ON
FOG WITH THE BEST FOCUS FOR ANY NOW OCCURRING TOWARDS THE SOUTH
AND WEST OF SAN ANTONIO. VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY
AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE TO BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
EXPECTED. GUSTS INTO THE 20 TO 25 KT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE
WINDS ARE TO SUBSIDE FROM THE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING
WITH RETURNING LOW CLOUDS. MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS RETURN WITH THE
LOW CLOUDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 86 63 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 86 61 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 84 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 82 60 85 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 84 63 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 85 61 87 64 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 84 60 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 86 61 89 63 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 84 62 87 64 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 84 63 87 64 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 86 63 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...62
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