705
FXUS64 KEWX 301753
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1253 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY AND TUESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK WITH MORE CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND.
- MUCH COOLER WITH RAIN SHOWERS FOR EASTER SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
WEAK ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FINAL TWO DAYS OF MARCH. TEMPERATURES CLIMB
INTO THE 80S TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH MORNING CLOUDS GIVING WAY TO
AFTERNOON SUNSHINE AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS. A NOTABLE RISE IN
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AS GULF MOISTURE AND RETURN FLOW RAMPS UP
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL GET THE BALL ROLLING FOR THE MONTH
OF APRIL AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST EJECTS OUT OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS ON LATE WEDNESDAY/EARLY THURSDAY. A SURFACE LOW
WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SENDING A DRYLINE FURTHER EAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO THE HILL COUNTRY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE RRFS AND SOME OTHER
EXPERIMENTAL CAMS ARE ON BOARD WITH A LINE OF STORMS DEVELOPING
AND PUSHING EAST OUT OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/HILL COUNTRY AND INTO
I-35 CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AT THIS
TIME, SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE TIMING, BUT IF
THINGS SPEED UP, THEN A CONDITIONAL THREAT MAY DEVELOP GIVEN
MODEST INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE LAPSE RATES, A STRONG STORM OR
TWO WOULD BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY OUT WEST. STORMS COULD
REDEVELOP THURSDAY
AFTER STORMS EXIT LATE THURSDAY MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON, WARM
AND DRY WEATHER RESUMES ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES QUICKLY REBOUND
INTO THE UPPER 80S BUT THE WARM UP IS SHORT-LIVED AS AN EVEN
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM TAKES SHAPE FOR EASTER WEEKEND. A POWERFUL
UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ALLOWING
FOR A STRONG TROUGH TO DIG SOUTHWARD OVER TEXAS ON SATURDAY. A
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION BRINGING THE BEST WIDESPREAD CHANCE AT RAIN FOR THE REGION
SINCE THE 1ST WEEK OF MARCH. MUCH COOLER AIR ALONG WITH LINGERING
SHOWERS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S. COOL AIR LASTS
THROUGH THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S NEXT
MONDAY AS WELL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE TO SCATTER WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY
MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WIND MAY GUST FROM 20-25 KNOTS INTO THE EVENING, THEN BECOME WEAKER
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AGAIN, FIRST AT I-35 TERMINALS AROUND 05-09Z, GRADUALLY BUILDING
WEST TO KDRT AROUND 12Z. CLOUDS WILL SCATTER AGAIN LATE TOMORROW
MORNING WITH ANOTHER DAY OF GUSTY CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 66 89 68 91 / 0 0 0 10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 65 89 67 92 / 0 0 0 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 64 88 66 91 / 0 0 0 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 63 85 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 66 90 69 94 / 0 10 0 10
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 65 88 67 90 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 63 89 65 92 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 65 89 67 91 / 0 0 0 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 65 87 68 89 / 0 10 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 66 88 68 91 / 0 0 0 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 66 89 68 93 / 0 10 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...27
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