836
FXUS64 KEWX 272332
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 527 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
ADJUSTED GRIDS BY LOWERING CURRENT TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR EASTERN
ZONES,HAVE LOWERED DEW POINTS AND MORNING LOWS AREA WIDE AS WELL
THROUGH TONIGHT. POPS HAVE BEEN TAKEN OUT FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
ADDED IN PATCHY FOG FOR AREAS EAST OF THE ESCARPMENT GIVEN THE
GROUND MOISTURE FROM THE RECENT RAINS AND LIGHT WINDS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
THE SECONDARY STORM COMPLEX WITH DEVELOPED FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE
MAIN LINE FROM YESTERDAY INTO EARLY THIS MORNING IS FINALLY EAST OF
THE AREA. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR NON-SEVERE STORM
CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 IF THE ATMOSPHERE HAS
TIME TO DESTABILIZE. OUR DEPARTING SHORTWAVE WILL ALLOW FOR
BRIEF, WEAK RIDGING TO RETURN OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY
BRINGING DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER BACK TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
HUMID CONDITIONS WILL STICK AROUND LATE WEEK AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO
THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S BY FRIDAY BRINGING HEAT INDEX VALUES
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
A DEEP, UPPER LOW WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE ROCKIES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY SHIFTING OUR UPPER RIDGING EAST. SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW RETURNS ALOFT BRINGING BACK OPPORTUNITIES FOR DISTURBANCES TO
PROPAGATE TOWARDS THE AREA IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE RETURN OF NEAR
TO ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE; HENCE, THE PERIODS OF LOW TO MEDIUM
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO UNORGANIZED IN THIS PATTERN NOT
GIVING A GOOD GLIMPSE INTO THE BETTER TIMES FOR ANY POSSIBLE
SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THIS PERIOD. WARM HIGHS AND LOWS
CONTINUE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH CLOUDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH
NIGHT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
WEAK WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE AREA UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS. LOW CLOUDS AND SOME FOG ARE EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP MAINLY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT. HI-RES MODELS
ARE NOT AS CONFIDENT IN LOW CIGS/VSBYS COMPARED TO STATISTICAL
GUIDANCE, BUT THEY MAY BE UNDERESTIMATING THE IMPACT OF RECENT
RAINS ACROSS THE AREA. HAVE CONTINUED IFR HIGHLIGHTS FOR KSAT/KSSF
FOR MAINLY THE 10Z-16Z PERIOD, WHICH RECEIVED MORE RAIN DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS, THOUGH THIS MAY EXPAND TO KAUS. LIFR CIGS AND
GREATER VSBY REDUCTIONS ARE POSSIBLE BUT HAVE KEPT THESE OUT OF
THE TAFS DUE TO THE CURRENTLY LOW CONFIDENCE. EXPECT CLOUDS TO
BREAK IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A RETURN OF A MORE STEADY S/SE WIND AT
5 TO 10 KT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 67 89 72 90 / 0 10 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 66 88 73 90 / 0 10 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 66 88 71 89 / 0 10 10 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 65 86 70 88 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 70 91 74 93 / 0 0 10 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 66 87 71 89 / 0 10 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 66 86 72 88 / 0 10 10 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 66 88 72 89 / 0 10 10 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 67 87 72 89 / 0 10 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 67 88 73 89 / 0 10 10 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 67 88 73 89 / 0 10 10 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...62
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...TRAN
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