536
FXUS64 KEWX 282318
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CONDITIONS ARE TRENDING DRIER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURNING NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
MAINLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY AS RIDGING BUILDS
OVERHEAD OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. HIGHS FROM THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT,
PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA BUT WOULD
SCATTER OR DISSIPATE BY THE MIDDLE OF TOMORROW MORNING. SEASONABLE
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S ARE SEEN FRIDAY MORNING INCREASING
TO SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S DURING THE AFTERNOON.
A DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM WEST TEXAS INTO MEXICO MAY TRIGGER SOME
ISOLATED OR SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING. STORMS MAY POTENTIALLY MOVE INTO VAL VERDE COUNTY
BEFORE ACTIVITY DIMINISHES AS WE LOSE DAYTIME HEATING. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AS THEY ENTER THE FAR
WESTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. THIS POTENTIAL IS THE ONLY CHANCE FOR
RAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
RIDGING SHIFTS TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND AS AS A TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN US LIFTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO REESTABLISH AND BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES TO MOVE OVER THE AREA. OVERALL, THE WEEKEND
HAS TRENDED DRIER WITH ONLY VERY LOW AND RATHER ISOLATED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY DURING THIS TIME. THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL
EXPERIENCE A RATHER QUIET AND WARM WEEKEND.
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BETTER MOISTURE AND HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES RETURN OVER THE AREA BRINGING MORE WIDESPREAD, BUT STILL LOW,
RAIN CHANCES TO THE REGION. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TUESDAY MAY HAVE OUR
"BEST" CHANCES FOR RAIN IN THE REGION, BUT NOTHING OVERTLY ORGANIZED
IS SEEN BRINGING A FAIR BIT OF UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST DURING
THIS EARLY TO MID-WEEK TIMEFRAME. TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE VALUES IN THE LONG-TERM.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS KEEPING CONDITIONS VFR AND WINDS LIGHT ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION ASIDE FROM STRONGER SOUTHEAST FLOW NEAR
K5T9/KDRT. LOW CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS WITH GREATEST CONFIDENCE IN MORE PERSISTENT MVFR TO
IFR CIGS ALONG A KDRT-KUVA-KPEZ ARC AFTER 10Z. CIGS ARE LESS
CERTAIN AT KSAT/KSSF, BUT HAVE INTRODUCED TEMPO IFR CIGS DURING
THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE WINDOW GIVEN SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO THE
PREVIOUS MORNING. OPTED NOT TO INCLUDE VSBY RESTRICTIONS IN THE
TAFS DUE TO LOWER HUMIDITY, BUT OCCASIONAL BCFG IS POSSIBLE IF
OVERNIGHT WINDS LESSEN FURTHER. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE CLOUD
DECK MAY ADVANCE AS FAR NORTH AS NEAR KAUS. EXPECT CLOUDS TO BREAK
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 70 93 72 92 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 70 93 73 92 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 68 91 71 91 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 68 90 71 89 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 73 95 76 95 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 70 92 72 91 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 68 89 71 89 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 69 92 72 91 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 70 92 72 92 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 69 91 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 70 91 72 91 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...TRAN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page