655
FXUS64 KEWX 051832 AAA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
132 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
- SEASONABLY HOT JULY TEMPERATURES CONTINUE.
- LOW END RAIN/STORM CHANCES EARLY WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND, BEST
CHANCES MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM HILL COUNTRY TO THE I-35
CORRIDOR
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WITH A RIDGE FROM NORTHERN MEXICO TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS IS
PRODUCING WEAK FLOW OVER TEXAS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
GULF IS KEEPING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS AND A WARM,
MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE TX/OK
BORDER AND GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH TX. THESE STORMS WILL
GENERATE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT COULD SEND SOME CONVECTION INTO
OUR NORTHEASTERN AREA THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE IT WILL BE ANOTHER
SEASONABLY HOT DAY AND WARM NIGHT. MONDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER
ROUND OF STORMS ALONG THE STALLED FRONT NEAR THE RED RIVER. MODELS
ARE SHOWING A BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME STORMS TO MOVE INTO OUR
NORTHERN COUNTIES STARTING DURING THE AFTERNOON MONDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. ANY STORMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE
HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PUSH THE STALLED FRONT BACK NORTHEAST, AND
DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO OUR ENTIRE CWA FOR THE REST OF THE WORK
WEEK. HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL BE THE FOREAST EACH DAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE A FEW DEGREES BY FRIDAY, BUT HEAT INDICES
WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR MOST OF THE CWA. A FEW
SPOTS IN THE EAST COULD REACH ADVISORY LEVEL EACH AFTERNOON
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SATURDAY ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL RIDE
OVER THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST US. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER FRONT
NORTH TX. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
SCT CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND 5K AGL ALONG WITH SCT HIGH CLOUDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS REMAIN FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH, WITH DRT TRENDING EASTERLY BY LATE EVENING.
LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT, AS HIGH CLOUDS
MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION MVFR CIGS
FOR THE I-35 SITES, WITH CONDITIONS POSSIBLY LIMITED TO A SHORTER
DURATION IF WE MANAGE TO SEE A THICKER LAYER OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVE
IN FROM THE NORTH. WE WILL ALSO MONITOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME CONVECTION OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS OF NOW,
THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE I-35 SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 98 78 97 77 / 0 10 30 20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 97 78 97 77 / 0 10 30 20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 97 76 97 76 / 10 0 20 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 96 75 95 74 / 0 20 30 20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 100 80 100 78 / 0 10 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 97 78 97 77 / 0 20 30 20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 95 76 96 75 / 0 10 10 10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 97 76 97 76 / 10 10 20 20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 98 77 97 77 / 10 0 20 20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 95 77 95 76 / 0 0 10 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 95 77 95 76 / 0 0 10 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TRAN
LONG TERM....TRAN
AVIATION...PLATT
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