036
WGUS44 KEWX 161413
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
913 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY AND
INCREASED IN DURATION FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS...
CIBOLO CREEK AT SUTHERLAND SPRINGS AFFECTING KARNES AND WILSON
COUNTIES.
CIBOLO CREEK NEAR FALLS CITY AFFECTING KARNES COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATE TONIGHT BY 315 AM CDT.
TXC255-493-170815-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260719T0442Z/
/SUPT2.3.ER.260716T0803Z.260717T1100Z.260718T1642Z.UU/
913 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
..FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY EVENING
* WHAT...MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST.
* WHERE...CIBOLO CREEK AT SUTHERLAND SPRINGS.
* WHEN...UNTIL LATE SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...AT 35.0 FEET, WATER SUBMERGES THE ROADWAY JUST SOUTH OF
THE FM 539 BRIDGE, MAKING IT IMPASSABLE. HOMES ARE NOT YET
IMPACTED AT THIS LEVEL.
AT 37.0 FEET, FM 539 IS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE NEAR THE CIBOLO
CREEK. ACCESS TO SOME HOMES MAY CUT OFF DUE TO THE FLOODWATERS.
BACKFLOWING COULD AFFECT RESIDENCES ALONG GUM BRANCH AND ALUM
CREEK.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 8:15 AM CDT THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
- RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 8:15 AM CDT THURSDAY WAS 27.1 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST OF 38.3
FEET TOMORROW MORNING. IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
38.8 FEET ON 10/05/2009.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (9 AM CDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME FRI SAT SUN
CIBOLO CREEK
SUTHERLAND SPRING 21.0 27.1 THU 8 AM CDT 37.8 22.9 10.6
LAT...LON 2928 9810 2932 9803 2908 9791 2903 9798
TXC255-170815-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.260717T0112Z-260720T0313Z/
/FCTT2.3.ER.260717T0112Z.260718T0300Z.260719T1513Z.NO/
913 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE SUNDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* WHERE...CIBOLO CREEK NEAR FALLS CITY.
* WHEN...FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...AT 17.0 FEET, MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF CROP AND
PASTURELAND DAMAGES IRRIGATION PUMPS AND ANY EQUIPMENT NEAR THE
CHANNEL. LIVESTOCK ARE CUT OFF IN LOW AREAS.
AT 21.0 FEET, LIVESTOCK ARE CUT OFF AND POTENTIALLY DROWNED IN LOW
AREAS BELOW STOCKDALE TO BELOW PANNA MARIA. LOWER AREAS OF GOLIAD
STATE PARK DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
AT 25.0 FEET, MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF CROP AND PASTURELANDS CUT
OFF MANY LIVESTOCK AND POTENTIALLY DROWN THEM. WIDESPREAD FLOODING
REACHES SECONDARY AND PRIMARY ROADS, LOW BRIDGES AND CROSSINGS.
MOST OF THE GOLIAD STATE PARK FACILITIES DOWNSTREAM ARE UNDER
WATER.
AT 27.0 FEET, MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF CROP AND PASTURE LAND
ABOVE STOCKDALE TO THE SAN ANTONIO RIVER CONFLUENCE. CUTS OFF
HUNDREDS OF CATTLE AND POTENTIALLY DROWNS THEM. MOST ROADS AND
BRIDGES NEAR THE RIVER FLOOD. NEARLY ALL THE FACILITIES OF GOLIAD
STATE PARK DOWNSTREAM FLOOD AND ARE SEVERELY DAMAGED.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 8:15 AM CDT THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET.
- BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THIS EVENING TO A CREST OF 26.4 FEET LATE TOMORROW EVENING.
IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
26.3 FEET ON 03/14/2007.
- HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (9 AM CDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME FRI SAT SUN
CIBOLO CREEK
FALLS CITY 17.0 5.7 THU 8 AM CDT 20.4 24.8 17.8
LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790
CM
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