914
FXUS64 KEWX 060516
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1216 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1200 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
- CONTINUED HOT AND DRY FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
- A FEW SPOTS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS COULD REACH HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA BRIEFLY THIS AND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS.
- THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY AND
EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE LINGERING AROUND THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES ARE SHOWING SMALL BREAKS
IN CLOUD COVERAGE, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. OUT WEST
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU, CLOUDS ARE STILL ABUNDANT, HOWEVER, THE FORECAST CALLS FOR
THOSE CLOUDS TO BURN OFF FOR THE MOST PART IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ARE WE CALLING FOR DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF TODAY? YES AND NO.
YES, BECAUSE MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS IS LIKELY TO STAY DRY. THE
NO PART, IS BECAUSE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO OR AN ISOLATED STORM
OR TWO COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
PLAINS AND THE RIO GRANDE AREA. AS A MATTER OF FACT, A QUICK SHOWER
FORMED OVER GOLIAD COUNTY AROUND 11 AM CDT (CRP CWA) AND THEN MOVED
OVER KARNES COUNTY AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR. OTHERWISE, HOT WITH HIGHS
IN THE 90S FOR MOST AREAS AND UP TO 103 DEGREES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. ELEVATED HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
THE COASTAL PLAINS, WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS COULD HIT THE 108 TO 112
FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.
CLOUDS REDEVELOP TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
RANGING FROM THE LOW TO MID 70S AREAWIDE. LIKE TODAY, CLOUDS STAY
UNTIL LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY BREAKS RESULTING
IN PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WITH INCREASED MOISTURE
ARRIVING FROM THE GULF, WE ARE EXPECTING FOR THE SEABREEZE TO
PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO CREATE ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING
THE POSSIBILITY FOR A STORM OR TWO IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 90S FOR MOST LOCATIONS AND EVEN HOTTER
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS OF THOSE IN THE SHORT TERM TIME FRAME ARE
FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD WHICH INCLUDES THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE
LOCAL AREA WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH SURFACE
SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING INCREASED MOISTURE TO ACTIVATE SEABREEZE
SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND THE
COASTAL PLAINS EACH AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 90S FOR THE MOST PART
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST AS THINGS REMAIN ON
TRACK. MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY AFTER 09Z AT SAT AND SSF AND
AFTER 10Z AT AUS. EXPECT STRATUS TO LINGER THROUGH MID TO LATE
MORNING BEFORE BREAKING TO SCATTERED AT 2500 FT. WINDS SHIFT BACK
TO SOUTHEASTERLY AT 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP AND OVER 20 KTS
POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY AT DRT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 98 76 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 99 77 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 99 76 97 75 / 10 10 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 100 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 98 76 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 97 75 96 74 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 76 98 74 / 10 10 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 98 76 96 75 / 10 10 10 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 98 77 97 76 / 0 10 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 100 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...MMM
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