815
FXUS64 KEWX 060641
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
141 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 129 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
- CONTINUED HOT AND DRY FOR MOST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
- A FEW SPOTS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS COULD REACH HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA BRIEFLY DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
- THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE COASTAL PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND TOMORROW.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS
EVENING WITH WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER TEXAS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE GULF IS PRODUCING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS. THE
AIRMASS OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS REMAINS HOT AND MOIST. IN THE SHORT
TERM THE THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT TO THE
NORTH. EXPECT ANOTHER HOT AND MAINLY DRY DAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
ABOUT THE SAME AS TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY MAY
BRING A FEW SPOTS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS TO HEAT ADVISORY LEVELS
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS, BUT WE DON'T EXPECT ENOUGH COVERAGE TO ISSUE
AN ADVISORY. AS THE UPPER HIGH MOVES A LITTLE FARTHER AWAY TO THE
NORTH THERE WILL BE SOME MINOR HEIGHT FALLS OVER TEXAS. THIS WILL
RESULT IN SOME VERY LOW POPS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
STILL MOST PLACES WILL BE DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A DEGREE OR
TWO LOWER FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES FARTHER AWAY. THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH
MONDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A FAIRLY STAGNANT FORECAST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY HOT AND NEAR NORMAL EACH DAY SATURDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO KEEP HEAT INDICES
BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA, HOWEVER A FEW SPOTS IN THE COASTAL
PLAINS COULD BRIEFLY REACH CRITERIA EACH AFTERNOON. WITH UPPER RIDGE
FARTHER NORTH A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS EACH AFTERNOON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, BUT CHANCES WILL BE
MOSTLY LESS THAN 20%. AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST,
RAIN CHANCES WILL COME TO AN END.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST AS THINGS REMAIN ON
TRACK. MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY AFTER 09Z AT SAT AND SSF AND
AFTER 10Z AT AUS. EXPECT STRATUS TO LINGER THROUGH MID TO LATE
MORNING BEFORE BREAKING TO SCATTERED AT 2500 FT. WINDS SHIFT BACK
TO SOUTHEASTERLY AT 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP AND OVER 20 KTS
POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY AT DRT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 98 76 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 99 77 97 76 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 99 76 97 75 / 10 10 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 100 77 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 98 76 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 97 75 96 74 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 76 98 74 / 10 10 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 98 76 96 75 / 10 10 10 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 98 77 97 76 / 0 10 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 100 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...MMM
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