255  
FNUS74 KEWX 172340  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER FIRE...TIFMAS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
640 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON AUGUST 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST  
BREEZE OF AROUND 5 MPH. RH VALUES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING AROUND  
16-19 PERCENT BUT SHOULD RECOVER TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT BY 9 PM AND  
TO AROUND 80 TO 83 PERCENT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY. WINDS SHOULD GO  
EVEN LIGHTER LATE TONIGHT AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT  
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. NO PRECIPITATION OR EVEN LOW CLOUDS ARE  
EXPECTED, SO THE HOT AND HARSH AFTERNOON CONDITIONS WILL RETURN  
FOR A SIMILAR WIND RH AND TEMPERATURE FOR 5 PM TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10  
TO 13 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (51100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 1 2 3 2 5 4 5 6 5 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............97 93 88 85 84 82 81 79 78 76 76  
RH..............23 27 33 39 44 51 56 64 69 74 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 12 13 14 15 15 14 13 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 7 8 8 9 9 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..51 5 5 4 5 6 6 6 6 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO  
AROUND 4 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND  
5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (75400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 6 7 9 7 6 5 3 7 11 15 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 74 76 79 84 88 91 94 96 97 98 98  
RH..............79 82 79 72 61 52 42 36 32 30 28 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 5 5 6 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 13 14 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W SW S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 2.6 4.9 6.0 6.7 8.1 8.7 7.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 10 12 15 22 42 53 67 70 75  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (70800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........18 20 18 17 15 17 19 22 23 25 26 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............97 96 93 88 86 85 83 82 80 79 77 77  
RH..............29 29 33 41 45 48 55 58 65 67 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 15 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 5.0 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..71 50 8 6 5 6 6 9 8 8 7 5  
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...17  
REQUESTED BY...E-1705  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619885.0/EWX  
.DELDT 08/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AHENDRICKS@MCKINNEYTEXAS.ORG  
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