071
FXUS64 KEWX 140546
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1246 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1200 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
- ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND
COASTAL PLAINS TODAY FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (10-20%) EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK, MAINLY OVER
THE COASTAL PLAINS.
- HUMID MORNING CONDITIONS AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTER CONTINUES TO PUSH OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS EARLY MONDAY AND THEN SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS
WEATHER PATTERN PROMOTES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND CRITICAL
HUMIDITY LEVELS FOR SEVERAL DAYS. WITH THAT SAID, A HEAT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND COASTAL PLAINS FROM NOON
THROUGH 7 PM. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND UP TO
103 DEGREES. HEAT INDEX COULD REACH UP TO 111.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHANGES FOR TUESDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS
FORECAST AS THOSE ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND
UP TO 103 DEGREES. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE ELEVATED WITH
ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES POTENTIALLY BEING ISSUED AGAIN FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA WEATHER PROMOTING
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, AND EVEN FRIDAY. ANY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. FOR
NEXT WEEKEND, AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS
THE GULF STATES AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMING DOWN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS COULD BRING BENEFICIAL RAINS FOR SOME PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
PRIMARY CONCERN THIS FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS THIS EVENING, PRIMARILY AT SAT AND SSF AS THE SEABREEZE
MOVES INLAND. PERSISTENCE HAS BEEN THE MOST RELIABLE TREND FOR
THE PAST FEW DAYS ON PICKING MVFR CIG TIME WINDOWS. OUTSIDE OF
ABOUT 4-7 HOURS IN THE PREDAWN TO LATE MORNING HOURS. VFR SKIES
WILL PREDOMINATE THE REST OF THE PERIODS. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE SEA-BREEZE, WHICH SHOULD MAINLY BE FELT ALONG I-35
CORRIDOR. THE SEA-BREEZE COULD ALSO BRING A STRAY SHOWER, BUT NOT
ENOUGH TO PLAN FOR IN THE TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 101 78 100 77 / 20 10 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 100 77 100 77 / 20 10 10 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 99 75 99 75 / 20 10 10 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 97 74 / 20 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 98 77 100 77 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 100 77 100 77 / 20 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 99 75 99 74 / 20 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 76 99 75 / 20 10 10 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 99 77 99 77 / 20 0 30 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 99 78 99 78 / 20 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 101 78 100 77 / 20 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ173-191>194-
205>209-220>225.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...18
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