895
FXUS64 KEWX 141743
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1243 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1233 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
- ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND
COASTAL PLAINS TODAY FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES (10-20%) EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK, MAINLY OVER
THE COASTAL PLAINS.
- HUMID MORNING CONDITIONS AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTER CONTINUES TO PUSH OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS EARLY MONDAY AND THEN SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS
WEATHER PATTERN PROMOTES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND CRITICAL
HUMIDITY LEVELS FOR SEVERAL DAYS. WITH THAT SAID, A HEAT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND COASTAL PLAINS FROM NOON
THROUGH 7 PM. HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND UP TO
103 DEGREES. HEAT INDEX COULD REACH UP TO 111.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHANGES FOR TUESDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS
FORECAST AS THOSE ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND
UP TO 103 DEGREES. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE ELEVATED WITH
ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES POTENTIALLY BEING ISSUED AGAIN FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA WEATHER PROMOTING
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, AND EVEN FRIDAY. ANY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. FOR
NEXT WEEKEND, AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS
THE GULF STATES AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMING DOWN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS COULD BRING BENEFICIAL RAINS FOR SOME PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026
MOST SITES HAVE RETURNED TO VFR CIGS, EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE MVFR CIGS MAKE A RETURN IN THE PRE
DAWN HOURS 08/09Z FOR KSSF AND KSAT. THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE
(LESS THAN 20 PERCENT) FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM BUT HAVE
KEPT MENTION OUT OF THIS TAF PACKAGE FOR NOW. MUCH LIKE THE PAST
COUPLE DAYS, SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY MAY TRY TO PROGRESS
EASTWARD WITH THE SEABREEZE BUT ITS UNCLEAR HOW FAR EAST IT GETS.
FOR KAUS VFR CIGS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD BUT THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY SEEING MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT HOWEVER MODELS ARE NOT IN
AGREEMENT SO HAVE KEPT OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW. EXPECT VFR CIGS TO
RETURN TO ALL I-35 TAF SITES BY 13/14Z TOMORROW. VFR AND GUSTY SE
WINDS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD FOR KDRT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 77 102 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 77 101 76 100 / 10 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 77 100 75 99 / 0 0 0 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 75 98 73 96 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 78 101 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 77 101 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 75 100 73 99 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 76 101 75 99 / 10 0 0 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 77 101 76 99 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 77 100 77 98 / 0 0 0 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 77 102 76 100 / 0 0 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ173-191>194-
205>209-220>225.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ173-192>194-
209-225.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...CJM
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