648  
FNUS74 KEWX 162032  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORK CREEK...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
332 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON OCTOBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM  
CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. GUSTY  
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE  
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TREND WEAKER THROUGH THE EVENING AND  
NIGHTTIME, BUT GUSTS IN THE 30-40 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO  
PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS IN THIS  
RANGE CONTINUING THROUGH 8 AM SATURDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
IS CURRENTLY BOTTOMING OUT AT ABOUT 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  
DRY POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL REDUCE MOISTURE RECOVERY RELATIVE TO  
PREVIOUS NIGHTS AND KEEP DEW POINTS LOW, BUT COOL OVERNIGHT  
TEMPERATURES NEAR 50F SHOULD ENABLE RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
TO NEAR 70 PERCENT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AFTER  
SUNRISE ON SATURDAY, BUT GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNDER SIMILARLY DRY CONDITIONS COMPARED TO  
TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
24 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
40 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (111200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 4 PM  
SKY (%).........48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............70  
RH..............32  
20 FT WIND......N 28  
20 FT WIND GUST.40  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 17  
EYE LVL WND GST.24  
MIX HGT (FT)....3900  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..113  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH  
DECREASING TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 14 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH  
DECREASING TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (105700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (24400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........33 26 29 21 19 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 62 59 56 53 51  
RH..............33 41 47 55 59 63  
20 FT WIND......N 25 N 22 N 17 N 20 N 20 N 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.38 36 28 31 33 32  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 15 N 13 N 10 N 12 N 12 N 12  
EYE LVL WND GST.23 22 17 19 20 19  
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 2000 1600 1300 1200 1600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 25 SE 22 SE 18 SE 20 SE 20 SE 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..106 46 38 40 29 30  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........28 40 17 26 17 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 48 55 62 66 69  
RH..............63 71 59 43 36 31  
20 FT WIND......N 18 N 18 N 17 N 15 N 13 N 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 26 22 21 21  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 11 N 11 N 10 N 9 N 8 N 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.18 17 16 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1500 3000 3800 4400 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 18 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 31 61 58 51 61  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD FAIR FAIR GOOD  
 
 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL RODRIGUEZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2623907.0/EWX  
.DELDT 10/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
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