234
FXUS63 KFGF 241135
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
535 AM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY SATURDAY.
THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS COULD LEAD TO
MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS DUE TO LOW VISIBILITY. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A DUSTING IN EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA UP TO 2 INCHES IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 405 AM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
..SYNOPSIS
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE REGION IN
THE COMING WEEK. MOISTURE REMAINS RATHER LOW, THUS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS MINIMAL THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE FIRST EXPECTED SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT
SNOW INTO THE AREA TODAY, WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS TO
ALLOW A MENTION OF POTENTIAL TRAVEL IMPACTS DUE TO BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. A SECOND SHORTWAVE WILL CLOSELY FOLLOW TODAY'S
SYSTEM, THUS PROLONGING LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW INTO THE FIRST
HALF OF SATURDAY. MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN STARTING SUNDAY AS
ARCTIC AIR TEMPORARILY RETREATS TO THE NORTHEAST, ALLOWING AFTERNOON
HIGHS TO CLIMB INTO THE 20S. BY MONDAY, HIGHS COULD REACH WELL INTO
THE 30S AS WESTERLY WINDS MIX VERY WARM 850MB TEMPS INTO THE NEAR-
SURFACE LAYER. THE 850MB TO 700MB LAYER WILL BE INFLUENCED BY STRONG
DOWNSLOPING AND SUBSEQUENT WARMING DOWNSTREAM OF THE CANADIAN
ROCKIES. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, LOW H5 HEIGHTS OVER THE HUDSON
BAY WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST, ALLOWING COLDER AIR TO RETURN TO
THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
..LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TODAY INTO SATURDAY
A SERIES OF 2 SHORTWAVES WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW INTO THE AREA
STARTING THIS MORNING IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN, THEN WORKING
EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. OVERALL, LOOK FOR A
DUSTING OF SNOW FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY WESTWARD, WITH UP TO 2
INCHES OF SNOW TO THE EAST. SOUTHERLY WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AROUND
MIDDAY, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS RANGING FROM 15 TO 25 MPH, MAINLY WEST
OF THE RED RIVER. GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS WITHIN
THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND POINTS EAST WILL BE A BIT LIGHTER; HOWEVER,
SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER. AS SUCH, PATCHY BLOWING
SNOW COULD LEAD TO VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.
IT IS ALSO WORTH NOTING, THAT TEMPERATURES COULD CLIMB HIGH ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT SLICK ROADWAYS AS SNOW DRIFTS ACROSS THEM THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 535 AM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
LOOK FOR CIGS TO FALL INTO MVFR TERRITORY LATER THIS MORNING,
WITH AN ONSET OF LIGHT SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST. VISIBILITY DURING
SNOW COULD FALL TO 3SM OR LESS THIS MORNING, WITH ADDITIONAL
IMPACT POTENTIAL ENTERING INTO THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AS
WINDS INCREASE. WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 15 TO 20
KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
SHORTWAVE QUICKLY TRAVERSES THE REGION. WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED
TO SHIFT OVERNIGHT, BECOMING MORE NORTHWESTERLY HEADING INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THIS TIME, WHICH COULD FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITY IN THE PRESENCE
OF LIGHT SNOW.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...LYNCH
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