518
FXUS63 KFGF 241941
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
141 PM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
LIGHT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS
DUE TO LOW VISIBILITY AND BLOWING SNOW.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 141 PM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
..SYNOPSIS
STOUT LONGWAVE RIDGING THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ACROSS THE GULF OF
ALASKA WILL SLOWLY DEGRADE AND DIMINISH IN AMPLITUDE WHILE
NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AN EVENTUAL TRANSITION TO A MORE ZONAL UPPER FLOW
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
GRADUAL PATTERN SHIFT WILL ALSO FEATURE AND EXTENDED WESTERLY
CHINOOK TYPE LOW LEVEL FLOW THAT KEEPS ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
- ONGOING SNOW
SNOW CONTINUES TO WORK EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY A DUAL SHORTWAVE
FEATURE WORKS THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BRING TWO ROUNDS OF
LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. THE FIRST IS NEAR OUT THE AREA WITH THE
SECOND ROUND PROGGED TO MAINLY BE AN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT EVENT WITH AN
ADDITIONAL FEW TENTHS POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT TONIGHT.
THE MORE IMPACTFUL PART OF THIS FRONT WITH BE INCREASING WINDS WITH
NEW SNOW LIKELY TO DRIFT AND BLOW AROUND ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA WHERE GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. AT TIMES THIS COULD LEAD TO ON AND OFF
CHANCES FOR BLOWING SNOW DEPENDING HOW WARM WE MAY GET TO
DEVELOP A CRUST ON NEW SNOW HELPING TO DAMPEN THE BLOWABILITY OF
IT.
LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGING THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL SEE HIGHS CLIMB
INTO THE 20S AND 30S EACH DAYS WITH A PEAK WARMTH DAY ON SUNDAY AS
SOME (MAINLY SOUTH OF I94) SEE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE AT HIGHS IN THE
40S. OVERALL LOOKS TO A PERIOD OF RELATIVELY NON IMPACTFUL
WEATHER WITH ON AND OFF BLOWING SNOW AND A FEW CHANCES FOR
FLURRIES.
BEYOND TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY THINGS LOOKS TO GET A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN
AS A CUTOFF LOW MEANDERS NORTH EAST OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
THIS LOOKS TO BRING INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE
NEXT WEEK ALTHOUGH COMPARED TO THE ROUGHLY ZERO CHANCES FOR
PRECIP WE ARE EXPECTING BEFOREHAND ANYTHING WOULD BE AN
INCREASE IN CHANCES. THINGS DO LOOK TO TEMPER IN TERMS OF
TEMPERATES TO END NEXT WEEK HOWEVER WITH HIGH IN A MORE AVERAGE
TEENS TO 20S RANGE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1159 AM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
MVFR CEILINGS AND IFR VISIBILITIES CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST WITH
WITH THIS SNOW SHIELD NOW MAINLY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AS OF
NOON. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON OUT THE W/NW
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30KTS BY TOMORROW MORNING IN DVL/GFK/TVF.
MVFR LIKELY DOMINATES THROUGH THE PERIOD IN CEILINGS THROUGH
OUTSIDE OF BLSN VIS WILL WIDELY BE VFR.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TT
AVIATION...TT
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