376
FXUS63 KFGF 030852
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
352 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE; HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 352 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
..SYNOPSIS
DRY AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION TODAY FOLLOWING YESTERDAY'S COLD
FRONT. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS RANGING FROM 10 TO 15 MPH,
WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
H5 TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WORK EASTWARD INTO THE HUDSON
BAY AREA, WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES TRAVERSING THE FLOW IN THE
COMING DAYS. THE FIRST OF THESE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF 3
SHORTWAVES WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES ARE IN
THE FORECAST EACH DAY, WITH THE BEST CHANCES OCCURRING SUNDAY.
DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON,
WITH THE BEST CHANCES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
..AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
REGARDING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT MUCAPE
PEAKS JUST UNDER 1000 J/KG DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING, WITH
RELATIVELY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE 0-3 KM SHEAR LOOKS SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED STRONGER STORM OR TWO THAT COULD PRODUCE
NEAR OR JUST SUB-SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. OVERALL, THE CHANCE
FOR WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LOW
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH THE PRIMARY CONCERN BEING LIGHTNING AND
SUB SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD ACROSS
EASTERN ND AND NORTHWEST, WITH IMPACTS FROM SMOKE DECREASING.
THERE IS STILL A LOW CHANCE FOR BRIEF DROPS TO 3-6SM THROUGH
THE TUESDAY MORNING HOURS. NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE DECREASING AND
SHOULD SHIFT TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. DAYTIME MIXING WILL RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN WINDS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WITH PERIODIC
GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...DJR
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page