528
FXUS63 KFGF 031506
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1006 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE; HOWEVER, WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1006 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
ADJUSTED CLOUD COVER UP FOR SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE DEVILS
LAKE BASIN AS WELL AS SOME HIGH LEVEL SMOKE COMING IN FROM THE
WEST. AT THIS POINT THINK THAT SMOKE SHOULD STAY HIGH LEVEL AND
NOT IMPACT THE SURFACE, AND SHOULD BE THIN ENOUGH TO NOT KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
CLOUD COVER IS SLOWLY WORKING TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING IN
WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WITH AREAS TO THE NORTH AND WEST SEEING
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
ACROSS THE AREA. NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED THIS UPDATE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 352 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
..SYNOPSIS
DRY AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION TODAY FOLLOWING YESTERDAY'S COLD
FRONT. LOOK FOR BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS RANGING FROM 10 TO 15 MPH,
WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
H5 TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WORK EASTWARD INTO THE HUDSON
BAY AREA, WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES TRAVERSING THE FLOW IN THE
COMING DAYS. THE FIRST OF THESE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF 3
SHORTWAVES WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES ARE IN
THE FORECAST EACH DAY, WITH THE BEST CHANCES OCCURRING SUNDAY.
DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON,
WITH THE BEST CHANCES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
..AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
REGARDING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT MUCAPE
PEAKS JUST UNDER 1000 J/KG DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING, WITH
RELATIVELY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THE 0-3 KM SHEAR LOOKS SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED STRONGER STORM OR TWO THAT COULD PRODUCE
NEAR OR JUST SUB-SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. OVERALL, THE CHANCE
FOR WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS QUITE LOW
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH THE PRIMARY CONCERN BEING LIGHTNING AND
SUB SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2025
MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT KGFK AND KTVF THIS MORNING AS
LINGERING NEAR SURFACE SMOKE CONTINUES TO IMPACT VISIBILITY.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CLEAR AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES WITH
VFR CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY. WINDS INCREASE THIS MORNING, WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS AT KDVL AND UP TO ABOUT 20 KNOTS AT KGFK,
KTVF, AND KFAR. LOOK FOR WINDS TO TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THIS EVENING.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
UPDATE...LYNCH/JR
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...LYNCH
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