893
FXUS63 KFGF 100851
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
351 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD WEATHER HAZARDS IS MINIMAL
THROUGH MID WEEK.
- A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS LATE THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 352 AM CDT SUN AUG 10 2025
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER TROUGH LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING WITH NORTHEAST FLOW
DEVELOPING THIS EVENING. THIS WILL SERVE TO ALLOW CANADIAN WILDFIRE
SMOKE TO FILL INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
EVENING. HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S. WILDFIRE
SMOKE CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER
H5 TROUGH BRINGS RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INTO THE
AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS TIME, SUPPORT FOR STRONG
STORMS REMAINS WEAK, BUT CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT. MOVING INTO
TUESDAY, QUIET WEATHER PREVAILS WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
70S FOR MOST AREAS. UPPER FLOW BECOMES ZONAL ON WEDNESDAY, THEN
SOUTHWESTERLY HEADING INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. H7 SHORTWAVE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG H5 SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW LATE THIS
WEEK, BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. THE TIMING OF THESE SHORTWAVES WILL ULTIMATELY
DETERMINE THE RISK FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER; HOWEVER, THE PATTERN WILL
BE SUPPORTIVE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
IMPACTS WILL BE LOW FOR THE TAF PERIOD. VFR CEILINGS WILL
BRIEFLY FALL TO MVFR IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA TOMORROW MORNING BUT SHOULD RISE TO VFR BY THE
AFTERNOON. SMOKE WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AND POTENTIALLY
CAUSE INTERMITTENT MVFR VISIBILITIES ONCE AGAIN.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY BY THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW FROM THE WEST.
GUSTS SHOULD PEAK AROUND 25 KNOTS AT THE MOST AND WILL DIMINISH
BY SUNSET TOMORROW. LIGHT AND VARIABLE CONDITIONS AND SMOKE WILL
BE THE ENDING CONDITIONS FOR THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...PERROUX
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page