796
FXUS63 KFGF 291227
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
627 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- BLOWING SNOW IMPACTS LESSENING THRU THE MORNING.
- CLIPPER #1 TO BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW LATE TONIGHT
INTO TUES AM FOR FAR NORTHEAST ND AND NORTHWEST MN.
- CLIPPER #2 WEDNESDAY FOR NORTHEAST ND INTO WEST CENTRAL MN.
30 PCT CHANCE OF MINOR IMPACTS FROM BLOWING SNOW WEDNESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 623 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
DID TRIM A BIT MORE OF THE ADVISORY THAT REPLACED THE BLIZZARD
WARNING. SO ONLY ADVISORY AREA LEFT IS RICHLAND, WILKIN, W OTTER
TAIL AND GRANT AS THOSE AREAS CONTINUE TO SHOW VSBYS UNDER 1SM
AT TIMES. REST OF THE AREA THE GUSTS PART OF THE WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED GREATLY AND VSBYS P6SM.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 359 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..SYNOPSIS
MAIN 500 MB LOW FORMS IN CENTRAL QUEBEC THIS WEEK WITH BROAD
UPPER RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM B.C. TO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THIS PUTS OUR AREA OUT OF THE ENDLESS PACIFIC
SYSTEMS, BUT DOES BRING A COUPLE CLIPPER SYSTEMS SOUTHEAST FROM
NW ALBERTA THE NEXT 72 HOURS. IMPACTS WILL BE MINOR WITH WPC
WSSI-P IMPACT LEVEL SHOWING 30 PCT CHANCE OF MINOR IMPACT DUE TO
BLOWING SNOW IN NE ND WEDNESDAY.
..LINGERING BLOWING SNOW THIS MORNING
WINDS ARE CONTINUING TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS ANY FALLING SNOW
EXITS THE AREA. VSBYS ARE IMPROVING AS WELL WITH CLEARING OF THE
CLOUDS NOTED HAVING MOVE INTO MOST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY AT
09Z. CHECK OF MN DOT RWIS VSBYS INDICATE 0.50 MILE TO 1SM AT
NEARLY AREAS NOW IN THE EASTERN RRV WHERE VSYS WERE LOWEST THIS
EVENING FROM WARREN SOUTHWARD. ONLY REMAINING AREAS IS IN GRANT
COUNTY BELOW 0.25 MILE. CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT AND WITH
WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS LESSENING, DID EXPIRE THE
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE REMAINING AREAS OF THE RRV STILL UNDER
THE BLIZZARD WARNING AT 06Z MAINLY WARREN TO CROOKSTON TO FARGO,
MOORHEAD TO WAHPETON, FERGUS AND ELBOW LAKE. IN ITS PLACE FOR
THIS ZONE IS A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THRU 9 AM TODAY FOR
LINGERING BLOWING SNOW IMPACTS. AFTER 9 AM FCST WINDS SHOW THEM
NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD ISSUES. WINTER WX
ADVISORIES FOR REST OF THE RRV WILL EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AT 12Z.
COLD WX ADVISORY EXPIRES AT 15Z AS WELL. SO FAR THOUGH ONLY
BARELY REACHING -30F WIND CHILLS.
...CLIPPER #1 LATE TONIGHT/TUES AM
WINDS LIGHTEN UP AS WE GO THRU THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST....BUT WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY THIS
AFTERNOON IN NE ND AND THIS SOUTH WIND SPREADS ELSEWHERE THIS
EVENING ONLY TO BE REPLACED BY NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH ON
TUESDAY AS A FAST MOVING ALBERTA CLIPPER MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM
NORTHERN ALBERTA, INTO SOUTHEAST MANITOBA BY DAWN TUESDAY AND
THEN SOUTHEAST FROM THERE. AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WITH ACCUMS UP TO
1 INCH ANTICIPATED THRU NW MN AND DID COLLAB WITH NWS DULUTH TO
GO MORE TOWARD HIGHER ECAM,CONSHORT POPS VS NBM AS ALL MODELS
SHOW A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW MOVING THRU. ALSO DOING THIS PUT
SOME POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW AS FAR WEST AS LANGDON-GRAND FORKS-
WADENA FOR OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUES AM. WARM UP WITH THE
NORTHWEST WIND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 32F THRU E ND AND WEST
CENTRAL MN BEFORE NORTH WIND BRINGS IN COLDER TEMPS TUES NIGHT.
..CLIPPER #2 WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER WAVE, BUT WITH
LESS OF A SFC LOW, GIVING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW FROM
SASKATCHEWAN, SOUTHWEST MANITOBA THRU MUCH OF EASTERN ND INTO
WEST CENTRAL MN. AN INCH OR LESS IS ANTICIPATED. THEN COLDER AIR
MOVES BACK SOUTH BEHIND THIS WAVE THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST CANADA BUILDING SOUTHEAST INTO THE
AREA. MAY SEE ANOTHER WEAK WAVE MOVING THRU THURSDAY HINTED AT
BY EUROPEAN MODEL BUT LIKE THE OTHERS IF IT DOES SNOWFALL LIGHT.
BEHIND EACH WAVE THE NORTH WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUCH
DEGREE TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD IMPACTS. BUT NORTH WINDS 15-20 KTS
WED AFTN/EVE MAY BRING DRIFTING SNOW ISSUES VS LOFTED BLOWING
SNOW. BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 623 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
ICE CRYSTALS KEEPING A LOW CEILING FROM THE ASOS AND AWOS
CEILOMTERS BUT AS WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THE ICE CRYSTALS
ARE LESS AND THE SENSORS ARE SENSING THE CLEARER SKY ABOVE.
WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND TURN SOUTH LATER TODAY. CHC OF
LIGHT SNOW MOVES INTO NW MN AFTER 06Z TUE
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-054.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR NDZ053.
MN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
MNZ001>005-007-008-013>016-022-023-027>031-040.
UPDATE...RIDDLE
DISCUSSION...RIDDLE
AVIATION...RIDDLE
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