435
FXUS63 KFGF 240951
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
351 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS REMAIN AT TIMES THRU SUNDAY MORNING, AS
LOW AS MINUS 45.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 339 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
..SYNOPSIS
NW FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO MID NEXT WEEK THEN BECOME A BIT MORE
WEST NORTHWEST AND WESTERLY LATE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND AS
TEMPERATURES MODERATE. CHANCES OF FLURRIES AT TIMES, BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
..WIND CHILLS
THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR IS MOVING OUT AS SFC WINDS HAVE
SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH 5-10 KTS AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE TODAY.
IN ADDITION THERE IS MID CLOUDS MOVING THRU THE AREA THIS
MORNING INTO AFTERNOON IN ZONE OF WARM 925-850 MB WARM
ADVECTION.
WITH CLOUDS OVER E ND AND RRV TEMPS REACHED LOW POINT IN THE MID
EVENING FRIDAY NIGHT AND HAVE BEEN RISING OR STEADY SINCE. WITH
WINDS OVERALL LIGHT 4-8 MPH WIND CHILLS IN MOST ALL AREAS ARE
OUT OF WARNING RANGE, AND WITH WARMER SFC TEMPS TODAY
EXPECTATION IS FOR ALL AREAS TO SEE CONSIDERABLY LESS COLD WIND
CHILLS THIS AFTN/EVE BEFORE COLDER AIR RETURNS SOUTHWARD LATE
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. HOW TO HANDLE THE BREAK IN
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WAS DISCUSSED. TO AVOID CONFUSION, IN
AREAS THAT WILL SEE WARNING CRTIERIA OR CLOSE TO IT RETURN
TONIGHT INTO SUN AM KEPT EXTREME COLD WARNING GOING THOUGH
DAYTIME TODAY WILL NOT SEE SUB 40 BELOW WIND CHILLS. NOW FOR
AREAS BEMIDJI TO PARK RAPIDS CURRENT FCST WIND CHILLS THRU
SUNDAY DO NOT SHOW THEM RETURNING TO CLOSE TO WARNING RANGE THRU
SUNDAY, AND IN FACT WITH LIGHTER WINDS IN THAT AREA EVEN
TONIGHT, WIND CHILLS SPEND MOST OF THE TIME IN THE -20S.
CONFIDENCE WAS HIGH ENOUGH IN BJI/PKD AREA TO GO JUST ADVISORY
18Z SAT TO 18Z SUN. KEPT WARNING GOING THIS MORNING AS TEMPS ARE
NEAR 30 BELOW AND ANY WIND WILL EASILY PUSH WIND CHILLS TO -40.
500 MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH DROPS SOUTH THRU THE AREA THIS EVENING,
EXITING LATE TONIGHT. CONSENSUS OF NEIGHBORING OFFICES WAS TO
INCUDE A MENTION OF FLURRIES WITH THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH AS
THERE IS SOME WEAK LIFT IN THE 700 MB CLOUD LAYER.
BEYOND SUNDAY WE WILL REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE OF NORMAL INTO MID
NEXT WEEK BUT HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE ZERO AND WIND CHILLS MOST
PERIODS OUT OF ADVISORY OR WARNING RANGE. UPPER WAVE, WEAK SFC
LOW MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM NE MANITOBA INTO NW ONTARIO WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF VERY LIGHT SNOW TO KENORA, DRYDEN ONT AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS MAY BRUSH FAR NORTHEAST FCST AREA AND LATER
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ADD A LOW POP. ANOTHER WEAK WAVE WENDESDAY
MAY BRING A CHANCE FOR FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW TO CENTRAL ND AND
AGAIN LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ADD SOME LOW POPS FOR THIS.
NEITHER OF THESE LOOK TO IMPACT TRAVEL.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING MID LEVEL AROUND
10KFT. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AROUND 5 MPH RIGHT NOW AND UP TO 10
MPH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SOME LOW CLOUDS STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
AFTER 18Z SATURDAY BUT CONFIDENCE WAS STILL TO LOW TO
DETERMINISTICALLY ADD IT TO THE TAF FOR ANY TERMINALS AT THIS
TIME.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ006>008-
014>016-024-026>030-038-039-054.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR NDZ049-052-053.
MN...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ001>008-
013>015-022.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR
MNZ009-016-017-023-024-027-028.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR MNZ029>032-040.
DISCUSSION...RIDDLE
AVIATION...TT
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