193
FXUS63 KFGF 260938
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
338 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS, AS LOW AS 45 BELOW ZERO, THIS MORNING
WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE BY MIDDAY.
- LIGHT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS COULD BRING REDUCED VISIBILITY TO
PARTS OF NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AND THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 338 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..SYNOPSIS
NORTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS THIS WEEK, WITH AN ARCTIC AIRMASS
TEMPORARILY RETREATING SLIGHTLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO ONTARIO. WARM AIR
ADVECTION TODAY WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA,
PRIMARILY NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AND FAR NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 1 INCH. SOUTH WINDS
PREVAIL EARLY, THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST, THEN NORTHWEST AS A SHORTWAVE
TRAVERSES THE AREA. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.
HEADING INTO TUESDAY AS ARCTIC AIR SETTLES BACK SOUTHWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. WINDS DIMINISH HEADING INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH GENERALLY QUIET, BUT COLD
WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. ENSEMBLES ARE CONVERGING ON A MORE ACTIVE
WEEKEND AHEAD, WITH PRECIP CHANCES BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AT THIS
TIME, CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS IS RATHER LOW; HOWEVER, IT IS WORTH
KEEPING AN EYE ON AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.
..HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING
WINDS THIS MORNING ARE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE.
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO RISING, HOWEVER, THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF
TIME WHERE WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE AS LOW AS 45 BELOW ZERO.
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BY MID MORNING, WITH TEMPS
CLIMBING ABOVE ZERO HEADING INTO MIDDAY.
..REDUCED VISIBILITY POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THE SAME SHORTWAVE THAT BRINGS SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR INTO THE AREA
WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST, THEN NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
WILL SUPPORT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY WHERE NEW SNOW
FALLS. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR BLOWING SNOW IS IN THE NORTHERN
RED RIVER VALLEY AND FAR NORTHWEST MINNESOTA, WHERE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS TO 1 MILE ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1107 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS YET THIS EVENING AND THROUGH SUNRISE BUT
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY FLIP W/NW BEHIND A MORNING FRONTAL
PASSAGE BETWEEN 14-18Z AT ALL TERMINALS. THIS FRONT COMES SOME
LIGHT SNOW AND CEILING DROPPING TO LOW VFR AND MVFR FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY. WINDS POST FRONT INCREASE TO 15-20KTS
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS BUT OTHER THAN THIS MVFR AND INCREASING WINDS
NO OTHER AVIATION HAZARDS TO MENTION.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.
MN...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MNZ001-
002-004>009-013>017-022-023.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MNZ003-
024-027>032-040.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...TT
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