861
FXUS63 KFGF 222326
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
626 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY, THEN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
..SYNOPSIS
LOW TO MID LEVEL STRATUS HAS BEEN PERSISTENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
IN THE DEVILS LAKE AREA, BUT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH HEADING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA IS EXPERIENCING MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
OUR NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING RAIN
CHANCES INTO MUCH OF THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES FOLLOW ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS
HIGHS REACH INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. ADDITIONAL RAIN
CHANCES RETURN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, ALONG WITH CONTINUED HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
STRATOCUMULUS HAS BEEN LINGERING OVER CENTRAL ND AND NEAR KDVL
BUT TRENDS HAVE BEEN TOWARDS PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
LAST FEW HOURS AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING.
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REST OF EASTERN
ND AND NORTHWEST MN AND VFR SHOULD PREVAIL AT LEAST THROUGH 12Z
WEDNESDAY MORNING. CHANCES FOR MVFR STRATUS INCREASES AS THE
NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION WITH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AT KDVL DURING THIS TAF PERIOD
WEDNESDAY (STILL A 30% IN EASTERN ND TOWARDS KGFK AND KFAR
BEFORE 00Z). RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY IN CENTRAL ND AND SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS (AFTER THIS TAF PERIOD).
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING SHOULD GENERALLY DECREASE BELOW 12KT
WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNSET/LOSS OF DAYTIME MIXING FOR MOST
LOCATIONS, BUT SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE
GRADIENT INCREASES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR 30KT WIND GUSTS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE AT KGFK AND KFAR DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON PERIOD, DEPENDENT ON MIXING/CLOUD COVER. MORE CLOUD
COVER WOULD LOWER THE CHANCE FOR THOSE GUSTS, THOUGH BREEZY
CONDITIONS WOULD STILL BE EXPECTED.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...DJR
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