420
FXUS63 KGID 190539
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1139 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS (30% CHANCE) ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BUT END BY MIDNIGHT.
- ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.20 TO 1.40 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.
- THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- STRONG, NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY.
- NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 334 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS WITH
RAIN MOVING ACROSS KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. RAIN WILL CONTINUE MOVING
NORTHWARD TODAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW MOVES NORTHWARD. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AROUND 0.20 INCHES TO
AROUND 1.40 INCHES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE (AROUND A 30 PERCENT
CHANCE) ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BUT WILL BE OVER WITH BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS
ARE GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTH AND WILL TURN TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST
AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES FROM KANSAS TO MINNESOTA TONIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 40S TODAY WITH SOME 50S.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE 30S WITH CLEARING SKIES.
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE PRESENT FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO CANADA
ON TUESDAY. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO WEST ON
TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 40S WITH
SOME LOWER 50S. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. STRONG NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES WILL
BE PRESENT FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S
AND 50S AND LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER PATTERN WILL PROGRESS
FROM THE AREA BEING UNDER THE BACKSIDE OF AN UPPER TROUGH TO UPPER
RIDGING THEN AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PERIOD. LLWS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNRISE, AS SURFACE WINDS ARE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS ARE
EXPECTED FROM SUNRISE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BECOMING
LIGHT AND WESTERLY AROUND SUNSET. SCT CLOUDS AROUND 100 WILL
CLEAR OVERNIGHT. SCT HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE TAF
SITES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY AND CLEAR OUT
TUESDAY EVENING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...DAVIS
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