633
FXUS63 KGID 200512
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1112 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH WINDS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA TODAY.
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG/NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92.
- COLD ON FRIDAY, BUT TRENDING WARMER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE NEXT WEEK.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IS CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO THE
26TH. THIS COULD FALL AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW, BUT
MEANINGFUL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS UNLIKELY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 600 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
STRONG WINDS BEHIND THIS AFTERNOONS COLD FRONT HAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY SUBSIDED, AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE
NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. FOR THIS REASON, THE HIGH WIND WARNING
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. WHILE THE WARNING IS EXPIRED, A FEW
ADDITIONAL GUST OF 40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED SOUTHWARD TO
INCLUDE ALL COUNTIES ALONG/NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92. THIS AREA HAS
SEEN SEVERAL 50-60+ MPH WIND GUSTS OVER THE PAST COUPLE HOURS,
AND THIS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE GRADUALLY
DECREASING THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS GO LIGHT/VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS
HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS, ALONG WITH THE
COLDER, POST- FRONTAL AIRMASS, SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA TO DIP INTO THE LOW TEENS OR SINGLE DIGITS.
FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST DAY OF AT LEAST THE NEXT
WEEK (AND POSSIBLY THE REST OF 2024). HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH 30 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS. FORTUNATELY, WINDS REMAIN
FAIRLY LIGHT AS THEY RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST.
INCREASING RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL ALLOW FOR A DRY
AND WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS SHOULD RETURN TO
THE UPPER 40S AND 50S IN MOST AREAS BY SUNDAY (10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL). THE WARMING TREND WILL BE INTERRUPTED EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND A COUPLE
SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THAT SAID, ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE STRONGLY FAVORED THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK (HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S AND LOWS IN THE 20S AND
LOW 30S).
GLOBAL ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE NEXT MEANINGFUL CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION ARRIVING IN THE 25TH-26TH TIMEFRAME. THAT
BEING SAID, THE RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP THE
CHANCE FOR ANY ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW PRETTY LOW. THE 12Z
ENSEMBLE SUITE SHOWS ONLY A 5-10% CHANCE FOR EVEN 0.1" OF SNOW
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE FAVORED THROUGH THE
END OF 2024. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE MORE UNCERTAIN, BUT THERE
ARE HINTS FOR ANOTHER SYSTEM IN THE 28TH-30TH TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1108 PM CST THU DEC 19 2024
HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA WILL EAST DURING THE TAF PERIOD. THE
WINDS WILL START THE TAF PERIOD NORTHWESTERLY AND BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON THEY WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY. THE PRESURE GRADIENT
IS EXPECTED TO RELAX OVERNIGHT AND EXPECT WINDS IN THE 5-10KT
RANGE BY MORNING. VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...ROSSI
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...BEDA
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