453
FXUS63 KGID 250545
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1145 PM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- YET ANOTHER CHANCE FOR FLURRIES TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
- COOLER OVER THE WEEKEND, THEN WARMING NEXT WEEK.
- A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN (INCLUDING MULTIPLE OPPORTUNITIES FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION), ARRIVES FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 345M CST FRI JAN 24 2025
SKIES ARE CURRENTLY MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE AREA, POST-FRONTAL
MIDLEVEL CLOUDS (ALONG WITH POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT SNOW) WILL
SLIDE INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING. SNOW IS MOST FAVORED OVER
WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA, BUT EVEN HERE ACCUMULATION IS VERY
UNLIKELY.
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE ON SATURDAY, RESULTING
IN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
30S). SUNDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AS WINDS RETURN TO THE
WEST. TEMPERATURES THEN RETURN TO THE 50S ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AS THE TROUGH OF COLDER AIR SHIFTS EASTWARD AND WEST TO
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS CONTINUE.
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A CUTOFF LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS LATE NEXT WEEK. THIS COULD BRING
WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA, BUT DETAILS IN
TIMING/TRACK/INTENSITY ALL REMAIN QUITE UNCERTAIN. TEMPERATURES (AND
THEREFORE PRECIPITATION TYPE) WILL ALSO BE A COMPLICATING
FACTOR. THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT PACK MUCH COLD AIR WITH IT, SO ALL
PRECIPITATION TYPES (RAIN, SNOW, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET) ARE STILL
"ON THE TABLE." THE 12Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLES (GEFS/GEPS/EPS) ALONG
WITH THE 19Z NBM ALL SHOWED A SLIGHT UPTICK IN SNOW
PROBABILITIES, BUT STILL ONLY SHOW A 30-40% CHANCE FOR 1" OF
NEW SNOW THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY.
BEYOND THAT, MODELS HINT AS A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN, WITH
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF
FEBRUARY. TEMPERATURES ALSO TREND COOLER, AND BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE LOOKING FORE FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
7-10 DAYS OF FEBRUARY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CST FRI JAN 24 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
KGRI: A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED FROM ELWOOD TO
KEARNEY TO STROMSBURG, OR JUST SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL. THIS BAND
IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH AND SHOULD MISS THE TERMINAL. HOWEVER, A
FEW FLURRIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE TERMINAL OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
KEAR: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE START OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND LOW CEILINGS IMPACT
THE TERMINAL. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY AROUND 08 OR 09Z.
CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR, WITH NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...WEKESSER
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