520
FXUS63 KGID 061040
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
440 AM CST THU MAR 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SOME VERY LIGHT/SPOTTY RAIN WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA THIS MORNING, WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION FOR MOST
LOCATIONS.
- A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT,
SPREADING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY
DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
- THE HEAVIEST SNOW WITH THIS NEXT EVENT WILL FALL NORTH OF
I-80, AND LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA. THAT SAID, SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL AS FAR SOUTH AS HIGHWAY 92, WITH A
FEW TENTHS AS FAR SOUTH AS THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS STATE LINE. A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE SEVERAL COUNTIES
MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE 2-4 INCHES OF SNOW.
- IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW, BREEZY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS COULD
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW - ALONG WITH AT LEAST
TEMPORARILY REDUCED VISIBILITIES, ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NORTH
OF I-80.
- WARMER OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING IN THE 70S
TO START NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST SOME AREAS OF
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 405 AM CST THU MAR 6 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CAN BE CLEARLY SEEN IN SATELLITE SPINNING
OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
LOW IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE
SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE WEST COAST TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD AND
CROSSES THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE,
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE STREAMING ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING A
FEW DEGREES OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AS THE CLOUDS HAVE
THICKENED. IN ADDITION, SOME LIGHT RETURNS CAN NOW BE SEEN
EXPANDING ON RADAR, BUT GIVEN CEILINGS OF 7-8KFT, LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY REACHING THE GROUND.
FOR TODAY, EXPECT THE WARM FRONT TO OUR SOUTHWEST TO LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA, WITH SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO
SATURATE. IN REALITY, HOWEVER, MOST LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE
LITTLE MORE THAN A TRACE TO A HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS, WITH THE COLD FRONT TO
OUR NORTH EXPECTED TO BECOME THE FOCUS FOR INTENSIFYING
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. OVERALL, SNOWFALL TOTALS/PRECIP AMOUNTS
HAVE NOT REALLY CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS OUR AREA OVER THE
PAST 24-48 HOURS, AND OPTED TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR OUR FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES WHICH HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF
SEEING AROUND 2-4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WHEN ALL
IS SAID AND DONE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS ARE NOT THE
PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THIS PASSING SYSTEM, THEY WILL BE ON THE
BREEZY SIDE, AND COULD SEE SOME BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW AND
TEMPORARILY REDUCED VISIBILITIES FOR AREAS THAT RECEIVE AN INCH+
OF SNOWFALL.
BEHIND THIS FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN ALOFT AS
THE WEST COAST LOW PASSES WELL SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. THESE RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN A
10-15 DEGREE RISE IN TEMPS EACH AFTERNOON FROM SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY, WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE NOW EXPECTED TO PEAK IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA. AS MENTIONED
YESTERDAY, HOWEVER, AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB, BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE REALIZED AND RH VALUES FALL, EXPECT TO SEE A RETURN TO
AT LEAST NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS MONDAY AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CST WED MAR 5 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS WINDS SHIFT AND
BECOME MORE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. COULD SEE
A FEW VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AROUND, BUT CIGS SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND 4-6KFT BASED ON SOUNDING/TIME HEIGHT DATA, SO DO NOT
THINK IT WILL AMOUNT TO MUCH. CLOUDS SHOULD LOWER LATE AFTERNOON
AND COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME MVFR AROUND DARK WITH AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW TOWARDS THE TAIL END OF THE
PERIOD. FOR THE TIME BEING, JUST HAVE A VCSH, AND WILL TRY AND
FINE TUNE THE ONSET OF BETTER PRECIP CHANCES WITH 12Z TAFS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR
NEZ039>041-046-047.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ROSSI
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