845
FXUS63 KGID 062211
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
411 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW ARRIVES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND LASTS INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. AREAS NEAR/NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92 COULD SEE 1-4
INCHES OF SNOW. THE REST OF NEBRASKA ONLY SEES MINOR, SLUSHY
SNOW ACCUMULATION, AND NO ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED IN
KANSAS.
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND WARMER WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN NEXT WEEK. NEAR-CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE AREA ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 355 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
THE FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY ON-TRACK FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
CURRENTLY, RADAR SHOWS SOME SPRINKLES OVER NORTHEAST PARTS OF
THE AREA. THESE MAY PERSIST OFF/ON THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE A
MORE PERSISTENT BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT.
THIS BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP NEAR/NORTH
OF HIGHWAY 92. ADDITIONAL SNOW THEN MOVES IN FROM THE WEST
AROUND SUNRISE ON FRIDAY AS A STRONG SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO RESULT IN
INCREASINGLY STRONG WINDS...SHIFTING FROM SOUTHEAST TO EAST AND
EVENTUALLY TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. FORTUNATELY,
WINDS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS WITH OUR PREVIOUS SYSTEM,
BUT PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND MINOR DRIFTING SNOW ARE STILL
POSSIBLE.
SNOW THEN TAPERS OFF AND POSSIBLY CHANGES BACK TO RAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BY 6PM FRIDAY...AT THE
LATEST. ALL SAID AND DONE, NORTHERN AREAS ARE STILL MOST
FAVORED TO SEE IMPACTFUL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, ALTHOUGH THE
PROBABILITY FOR 1"+ HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY.
THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY A WARMING
TREND AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL CONUS. ON
MONDAY, THE REGION IS FORECAST TO BE RIGHT UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS,
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. THIS WARM, DRY AIR WILL PROMOTE AN INCREASING FIRE WEATHER
THREAT OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA. MONDAY LOOKS TO BE THE
MOST CONCERNING DAY, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME QUESTION ON THE
INTENSITY AND LOCATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS.
SLIGHTLY COOLER (BUT STILL VERY MILD) TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH A SYSTEM IN THE 14-16TH TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
OVERCAST SKIES PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. CEILINGS REMAIN VFR
THROUGH AROUND 06Z, THEN FLIGHT CONDITIONS GRADUALLY
DETERIORATE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. IFR CEILINGS/VIS ARE
EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING AS LIGHT SNOW MOVES INTO
THE AREA.
WINDS TURN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO EAST TO NORTH THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR
NEZ039>041-046-047.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...MANGELS
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