723
FXUS63 KGID 070536
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1136 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW ARRIVES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND LASTS INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. AREAS NEAR/NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92 COULD SEE 1-4
INCHES OF SNOW. THE REST OF NEBRASKA ONLY SEES MINOR, SLUSHY
SNOW ACCUMULATION, AND NO ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED IN
KANSAS.
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND WARMER WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN NEXT WEEK. NEAR-CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE AREA ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 355 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
THE FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY ON-TRACK FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
CURRENTLY, RADAR SHOWS SOME SPRINKLES OVER NORTHEAST PARTS OF
THE AREA. THESE MAY PERSIST OFF/ON THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE A
MORE PERSISTENT BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT.
THIS BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP NEAR/NORTH
OF HIGHWAY 92. ADDITIONAL SNOW THEN MOVES IN FROM THE WEST
AROUND SUNRISE ON FRIDAY AS A STRONG SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO RESULT IN
INCREASINGLY STRONG WINDS...SHIFTING FROM SOUTHEAST TO EAST AND
EVENTUALLY TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. FORTUNATELY,
WINDS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS WITH OUR PREVIOUS SYSTEM,
BUT PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND MINOR DRIFTING SNOW ARE STILL
POSSIBLE.
SNOW THEN TAPERS OFF AND POSSIBLY CHANGES BACK TO RAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BY 6PM FRIDAY...AT THE
LATEST. ALL SAID AND DONE, NORTHERN AREAS ARE STILL MOST
FAVORED TO SEE IMPACTFUL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, ALTHOUGH THE
PROBABILITY FOR 1"+ HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY.
THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY A WARMING
TREND AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL CONUS. ON
MONDAY, THE REGION IS FORECAST TO BE RIGHT UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS,
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. THIS WARM, DRY AIR WILL PROMOTE AN INCREASING FIRE WEATHER
THREAT OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA. MONDAY LOOKS TO BE THE
MOST CONCERNING DAY, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME QUESTION ON THE
INTENSITY AND LOCATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS.
SLIGHTLY COOLER (BUT STILL VERY MILD) TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH A SYSTEM IN THE 14-16TH TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY IN
THE PERIOD, BEFORE AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH
LATER TONIGHT INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY BRINGS LOWERING CEILINGS
AND INCREASING SNOW CHANCES. AT THIS POINT, THE MAIN TIMING OF
SNOW LOOKS TO BE AFTER 10Z, AND MAINLY IN THE 12-18Z TIME FRAME,
WHERE LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON,
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN, WITH VFR CONDITIONS
BACK IN THE FORECAST THIS EVENING THROUGH THE END OF THIS
PERIOD. CURRENT EASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN MORE NORTHEASTERLY,
THEN NORTHERLY BY SUNRISE FRIDAY...REMAINING MAINLY NORTHERLY
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY, THEN MORE NORTHWESTERLY THIS EVENING.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS NEAR 25-30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON, GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF TO CLOSER
TO 10-15 MPH THIS EVENING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR
NEZ039>041-046-047.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...ADP
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