964
FXUS63 KGID 030550
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1250 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2025
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE
WHOLE FORECAST AREA FOR TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO 33 TO 37
DEGREES.
- AFTER TODAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN BEGINNING
MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST CHANCES (UP TO 75%) WILL BE
TUESDAY EVENING.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO MID
70S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 323 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION TO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE ALONG THE UPPER
TROUGH ARE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS. WINDS ACROSS NEBRASKA AND KANSAS ARE
MOSTLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE
ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. THE RAIN SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY/DURING THIS EVENING AS THE
SHORTWAVE MOVES SOUTHEAST. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
DROP INTO THE 30S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FROST
DEVELOPMENT SO A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE WHOLE
AREA.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS WILL BE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH ON
SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S WITH LIGHT WINDS. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S WITH WINDS MOSTLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY BUT WILL STRENGTHEN
TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY
WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE ON SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
70S. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS WILL BE BETWEEN TWO UPPER LOWS ON MONDAY WITH
WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER
DUE TO AN UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ENTER THE AREA FROM THE WEST BEGINNING
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR MONDAY EVENING. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY, PRIMARILY AFFECTING LOCATIONS
SOUTHWEST OF THE TRI-CITIES AREA. TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE
COOLEST IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE MOST RAINFALL.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO MID 70S. LOW TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S. RAIN AND
STORMS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH CHANCES UP TO
50%. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 40S. RAIN
CHANCES DECREASE ON THURSDAY (15% TO 35% CHANCE) WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HONESTLY, ONE OF THE "EASIEST" TAFS THIS FORECASTER HAS COMPOSED
IN A WHILE! ASIDE FROM A SMALL CHANCE FOR BRIEF SUB-VFR
VISIBILITY IN SHALLOW/PATCHY FOG WITHIN A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE
OF SUNRISE (CURRENTLY DEEMED ONLY A 10-20% CHANCE AND THUS NOT
INCLUDED IN TAFS), THE ENTIRE PERIOD FEATURES EXTREMELY-HIGH-
CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS, DRY WEATHER AND VERY LITTLE CLOUD
COVER WHATSOEVER.
EVEN WINDS WILL BE UNUSUALLY-LIGHT BY MAY STANDARDS, WITH A
SLOW-MOVING SURFACE RIDGE AXIS KEEPING SUSTAINED SPEEDS NO
HIGHER THAN AROUND 7KT/GUSTS NO HIGHER THAN AROUND 10KT
THROUGHOUT. DIRECTION IS BEST INDICATED AS VARIABLE (VRB)
THROUGH 00Z, AFTER WHICH TIME A MORE CONSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY
COMPONENT WILL COMMENCE.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ039>041-
046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ005>007-
017>019.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...PFANNKUCH
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