933
FXUS63 KGID 040458
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1158 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2025
..06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY DAY TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. ENJOY!
- A FEW ISOLATED AREAS OF PATCHY FROST ARE POSSIBLE (AROUND
40%-50% CHANCE) LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING IN NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF VALLEY COUNTY.
- ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER SUNDAY FOR SOME AREAS
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80 DUE TO LOWER HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
WINDS.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES INCREASE BEGINNING MAINLY MONDAY
EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES (UP TO NEAR 80%) TUESDAY
EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION TO
EASTERN TEXAS. AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM WEST TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO
NORTHWARD TO MONTANA AND CANADA. NEBRASKA AND KANSAS ARE IN BETWEEN
THESE TWO FEATURES WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MOSTLY SUNNY TO
SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE ACROSS IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSOURI
TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. A FEW AREAS IN
NORTHERN VALLEY COUNTY MAY GET INTO THE MID 30S WITH LIGHT FROST
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS WILL BE BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW TO THE EAST
CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY AND AN UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN PART
OF THE COUNTRY ON SUNDAY. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
STRENGTHEN AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED FEATURES STRENGTHEN. THIS WILL
RESULT IN SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 25
TO 30 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP TO 26% IN SOME LOCATIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE
HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH THE WINDS MAY CREATE ELEVATED TO NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER FOR SUNDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SUNDAY NIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. THE UPPER
TROUGH TO THE WEST WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND BECOME CENTERED OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
AND WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY. INCREASING CLOUD
COVER IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW/TROUGH.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
RAIN AND STORM CHANCES (15% TO AROUND 35%) WILL INCREASE MONDAY
NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES CLOSER. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST OF THE TRI-
CITIES AREA IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT
WILL BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER NEBRASKA AND KANSAS ON TUESDAY WITH
RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN SOUTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH CHANCES UP TO NEAR 80% TUESDAY
EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 60S
ACROSS SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TO THE MID/UPPER 70S
ACROSS NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S. AN UPPER LOW WILL BE
OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS KANSAS AND NEBRASKA. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO LOW 70S.
WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST WITH
THE UPPER LOW AND SURFACE LOW TO THE SOUTH. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW AND SURFACE LOW MOVE
SLIGHTLY MORE NORTH. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE
40S. WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY AS THE SURFACE LOW
AND UPPER LOW MOVE BACK SOUTHWARD SLIGHTLY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON
THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY BUT WILL BE LESS
THAN 40%. LOW TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS NIGHT. TEMPERATURES MAY BE ON A WARMING TREND ON FRIDAY
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW. AS OF NOW, HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S
ACROSS MOST AREAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (LESS THAN 20% CHANCE)
MAY BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA ON FRIDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT SAT MAY 3 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETAIN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NO EXPECTED REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. WINDS
START OFF LIGHT TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST (LESS THAN
10KTS) AND WILL PEAK SUNDAY AFTERNOON 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 20KTS BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AGAIN OVERNIGHT SUNDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...STUMP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page