631
FXUS63 KGID 042341
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
641 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
IMPROVE RAPIDLY THIS EVENING.
- GENERALLY PLEASANT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES (MOSTLY 70S) THIS
WEEK WITH A WARM-UP INTO THE 80S NEXT WEEKEND.
- DESPITE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS MID-WEEK
(20-60%), SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT IN THE FORECAST WITH
OVERALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH
ACROSS THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS (CLOSER TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH) ARE LIKELY TO BE
LIMITED TO OUR KANSAS COUNTIES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 218 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2025
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE CANADIAN PROVINCES THIS AFTERNOON...BEING SQUEEZED BY
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND ANOTHER
ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THIS HAS RESULTED IN GENERALLY
SUNNY SKIES, MODEST SOUTHERLY BREEZES AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES
BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. EXPECT LITTLE SHIFT IN
THIS PATTERN TO START THE WORK WEEK, WITH ANOTHER SUNNY AND
PLEASANT DAY ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY.
THANKFULLY, WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK IN DEWPOINTS IN SOUTHERLY FLOW,
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DO NOT LOOK TO BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE FOR
THE LOCAL AREA TO START THE WORK WEEK AS RH VALUES SHOULD CREEP
UP SOME TOMORROW.
FOR MID-WEEK...EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, SPREADING SOME CLOUDS/MOISTURE ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP NOT REACHING THE AREA UNTIL TUESDAY
EVENING OR WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THE ONCE AGAIN WIDESPREAD CHANCES
FOR PRECIP IN THE FORECAST, PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE
LIMITED BY THE REMNANTS OF THIS LOW PASSING WELL TO OUR SOUTH
AND THE LOCAL AREA ONLY BEING CLIPPED BY ANY LIGHT PRECIP BANDS
ON ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY. THIS MEANS AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
80 MAY ONLY RECEIVE 0.10" OF PRECIP OR LESS MID-WEEK, WITH THE
HIGHER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO 0.25" BEING MAINLY LIMITED TO OUR KS
COUNTIES. STILL SOME TIME FOR THINGS TO CHANGE SOME, BUT THIS
SCENARIO DOES NOT LOOK FAVORABLE FOR EITHER SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION OR SEVERE WEATHER.
LATER IN THE WEEK, EXPECT THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO RE-ESTABLISH
ITSELF ACROSS THE PLAINS, PEAKING ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND
WITH DRY WEATHER AND WARM TEMPERATURES LIKELY CLIMBING INTO THE
80S AS A RESULT. THIS DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM PATTERN WILL
LIKELY THEN CONTINUE INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK WITH LITTLE HINT
OF MORE SIGNIFICANT (AND NEEDED) PRECIP ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
ANYTIME SOON IN THE ENSEMBLES THAT EXTEND FURTHER INTO THE
MONTH.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER. WINDS WILL
BE SE TO S 7-10KT TONIGHT, THEN 10-14KT (GUSTS 18-22KT) DURING
THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY. CONFIDENCE: VERY HIGH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...THIES
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