667
FXUS63 KGID 072047
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
347 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SPOTTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED, BUT SOME LOCALIZED GUSTY WIND
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
- ANOTHER ROUND OF SPOTTY SHOWERS AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- DRY AND WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED OVER MUCH OF KANSAS AS THE UPPER CUTOFF
LOW SLOWLY PUSHES EASTWARD. NEBRASKA HAS REMAINED MOSTLY DRY,
BUT A FEW SHOWERS/T-STORMS HAVE JUST STARTED TO DEVELOP, AIDED
BY DIURNAL HEATING. THIS CONVECTION WILL BE LARGELY CONFINED TO
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY/SHEAR, BUT LOCALIZED
DOWNDRAFTS AND HIGH CLOUD BASES COULD LEAD TO BRIEF PERIODS OF
SUB-SEVERE GUSTY WINDS (40-50 MPH).
CAMS HIGHLIGHT ANOTHER ROUND OF SPOTTY DIURNALLY-DRIVEN
SHOWERS/STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON THURSDAY. COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIMITED, WITH 95% OR MORE OF THE AREA
LIKELY TO REMAIN DRY.
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE
CENTRAL/WESTERN CONUS, RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES, BREEZY
WINDS, AND HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS. HIGHS IN THE 80S
ARE LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA EACH DAY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY,
AND COULD EVEN APPROACH THE 90S BY TUESDAY. THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY
FOR RAIN WILL BE AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD (90%
CONFIDENCE). A FEW RAIN SHOWERS OR WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE TO
THE NORTH AND WEST, THEREFORE THE PROB30 GROUP FOR -SHRA WAS
MAINTAINED AT EAR AND REMOVED FROM GRI. THE POTENTIAL FOR
GRI/EAR TO BE IMPACTED BY A THUNDERSTORM IS VERY LOW.
EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON,
BECOMING MORE LIGHT/VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
A FEW DIURNALLY-DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON (AFTER THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD).
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...MANGELS
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