153
FXUS63 KGID 311747
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1247 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES IN CANADA WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA
TODAY, RESULTING IN HAZY SKIES AND POSSIBLE AIR QUALITY
CONCERNS.
- THERE ARE A FEW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS WEEK. THIS
AFTERNOON, A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. MONDAY AND TUESDAY,
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED, WITH MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
- THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S BY MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 343 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
THE FORECAST PERIOD STARTS OUT WITH AN UPPER RIDGE LOCATED OVER
WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. A CLOSED
UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE EAST RIVER REGION OF SOUTH
DAKOTA. THROUGH THE DAY, THE LOW WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST, INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE REGION,
WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERNS. EXPECTED HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. CANADIAN
WILDFIRE SMOKE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TODAY, WITH
HIGHER CONCENTRATIONS MOVING IN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAVE
HAZY SKIES AND POSSIBLY SOME AIR QUALITY ISSUES. THOSE WITH
RESPIRATORY AND OTHER UNDERLYING CONDITIONS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST AND THE AIR QUALITY TODAY AND TAKE ANY
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THE RIDGE PUSHES EAST, BRINGING A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND. SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY SUMMER-LIKE,
REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 80S. BY MONDAY, SEVERAL AREAS WILL REACH
THE LOW 90S. MONDAY BRINGS A SHIFT IN THE PATTERN, WITH AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS AND THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUING TO
SHIFT EAST, OUT OF THE REGION. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED
TO CROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND GREAT PLAINS BEGINNING MONDAY.
AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL SLIDE INTO THE
REGION, WHILE A DISTURBANCE WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS
COLORADO. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAIL AND WIND BEING THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.
TUESDAY, CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED AS THE DISTURBANCE IN COLORADO MOVES INTO THE REGION.
NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR FILTERING IN WILL RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES
BEING 20-30 DEGREES COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY (LOW 60S TO MID-
70S).
THE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY, WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. PERIODIC SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AT LEAST A PORTION OF THE AREA ALL
THREE DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL START ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND,
RETURNING TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S NORTH OF I-80 AND THE UPPER 70S TO
LOW 80S FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TAF
AS POPS ARE AROUND OR LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. IN ADDITION, THE
LATEST MORNING MODEL RUNS HAVE COME IN DRY FOR OUR TAF SITES. SO
ALTHOUGH WE CAN NOT TOTALLY RULE OUT A BRIEF SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING, PRECIPITATION IS
UNLIKELY ENOUGH THAT WE ARE LEAVING PRECIPITATION OUT OF THIS
TAF. WE WILL SEE SOME HAZE ALOFT DUE TO SMOKE AT TIMES THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW, BUT FOR THE MOST PART WE DO
NOT EXPECT ENOUGH OF THE SMOKE TO REACH THE SURFACE TO IMPACT
SURFACE VISIBILITY, BUT AGAIN CAN NOT RULE OUT A LITTLE SMOKE
REACHING THE SURFACE.
THE WIND WILL QUICKLY DIE DOWN AS WE NEAR SUNSET AND WITH HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE REGION WE WILL SEE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WEKESSER
AVIATION...WESELY
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