747
FXUS63 KGID 021137
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
637 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TODAY.
- TODAY AND TOMORROW BRING A PERIOD OF DRYING OUT. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE 90S.
- PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
INDEPENDENCE DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 255 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS WORKING ITS WAY NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS
CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS MORNING. STORMS HAVE BEEN GOING FOR THE
PAST FEW HOURS, WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND MAYBE SOME WIND GUSTS
AND SMALL HAIL. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS NOT DONE A GOOD JOB OF
PINPOINTING WHERE STORMS WILL BE WITH THIS EVENT.
STORMS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THIS COMPLEX HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING
ALONG TWO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY PULSY IN
NATURE, STRENGTHENING FOR A FEW SCANS AND THEN DIMINISHING IN
INTENSITY. BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS, STORMS WILL MAINLY IMPACT
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AT THIS TIME, WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE WEST COAST TODAY, WITH AN
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE FRONT RANGE, AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE GREAT
PLAINS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ADVECT WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION
TODAY. EXPECTED HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID-90S, WITH LOWS
TONIGHT IN THE MID-60S TO LOW 70S. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO THURSDAY.
THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST ON THURSDAY, WITH ANOTHER DAY OF HOT TEMPS
EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 90S. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY LIFT INTO
THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
BETTER CHANCES (40-60%) OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS
AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS LIFTS NORTHEAST, OUT OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING IN FROM THE PACIFIC WITH
THIS SYSTEM.
PERIODIC SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS OCCURRING IN THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE A CONCERN. EXPECTED HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S AND 90S
EACH DAY WITH LOWS PRIMARILY IN THE 60S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
KGRI: VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH
EASTERN NEBRASKA THIS MORNING WILL CLEAR OUT OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, LEAVING SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE
DAY, INCREASING TO AROUND 10-15KTS LATER THIS MORNING.
KEAR: VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10-15KTS LATER THIS
MORNING, DECREASING AFTER SUNSET.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WEKESSER
AVIATION...WEKESSER
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