988
FXUS63 KGID 310907
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
407 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED.
- TUESDAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY, THEN A COLD FRONT BRINGS
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
- DRY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
A FEW SHOWERS PERSIST NEAR AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 281 CORRIDOR
EARLY THIS MORNING. NEAR-TERM MODELS SHOW THIS ACTIVITY
PERSISTING AND EVEN EXPANDING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, BUT
HAS GENERALLY BE OVER-DOING THE INTENSITY OF THESE SHOWERS. A
FEW AREAS COULD PICK UP AN ADDITIONAL 0.50-1.00" THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS, BUT RAIN RATES SHOULD REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO AVOID
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ISSUES.
WESTERN AREAS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY TODAY, BUT CAMS DO HINT
THAT A FEW SHOWERS AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AS FAR
WEST/SOUTHWEST LEXINGTON, NE DOWN TO STOCKTON, KS. INSTABILITY
WILL BE LIMITED, SO SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. FORECAST
HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S IN
SOUTHWEST AREAS THAT SEE SOME SUNSHINE...TO JUST THE MID 60S IN
OUR NORTHEAST THAT SEE MORE CLOUD COVER AND RAIN.
THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY REMAINS PRETTY SIMILAR TO TODAY AS THE
UPPER SHORTWAVE SLOWLY SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST. AGAIN, THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA...BUT
NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA COULD SEE AT LEAST A PASSING SHOWER OR
WEAK THUNDERSTORM.
THE AREA FINALLY DRIES OUT ON TUESDAY, AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO BOUNCE BACK INTO THE 70S (AND EVEN LOW 80S IN THE
EXTREME SW PARTS OF THE AREA).
A COLD FRONT IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING ANOTHER COOLDOWN AND A CHANCE (20-30%) FOR
SHOWERS/T-STORMS. ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW FAST
SKIES CLEAR, OVERNIGHT LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE FORECAST TO BE
THE COOLEST WE'VE SEEN OVER THE LAST 3 MONTHS. THE CURRENT
FORECAST FOR GRAND ISLAND/HASTINGS IS THE 46-48 DEGREE RANGE,
AND THE LAST TIME WE DIPPED INTO THE 40S WAS WAY BACK ON JUNE
4TH.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ARE FAVORED TO REMAIN DRY. THE NEXT
HINT FOR RAIN WOULD BE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT SUNDAY, ALTHOUGH
THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD/UNCERTAINTY ON THE GLOBAL
ENSEMBLE MODELS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
IFR CEILINGS CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING (POSSIBLY DIPPING
TO LIFR AT TIMES). SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ALSO PERSIST IN THE
AREA, BUT THE THREAT FOR LIGHTNING IS FAIRLY LOW...THEREFOR THE
PROB30 GROUPS WERE PULLED FROM THIS TAF ISSUANCE. ALSO CANNOT
RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FOG...ALTHOUGH THAT APPEARS MORE FAVORABLE
TO THE WEST OF EAR/GRI.
CEILINGS IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...AND EAR COULD EVEN
SEE SOME PEAKS OF SUNSHINE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. ADDITIONAL LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO RETURN SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...MANGELS
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