877
FXUS63 KGID 120514
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1214 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME WEAK T-STORMS TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...MAINLY MIDNIGHT TO 6AM.
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY. WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST, AND A PUSH OF DRIER AIR MAY LEAD TO NEAR-CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEST OF HIGHWAY 183.
- A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE (20% CHANCE) SUNDAY NIGHT.
- COOLER ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH CHANCES FOR RAIN RETURNING
TO THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 337 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
AS OF 3PM, SKIES HAVE CLEARED OVER MOST OF THE AREA, AND
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE UPPER 70S AND 80S (NEAR 90 IN
PARTS OF KS). SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE GUSTING 30-35 MPH, AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
CAMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL
NEBRASKA TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THERE IS JUST
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER...BUT CERTAINLY
NOTHING SEVERE. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD EXIT THE AREA BEFORE
SUNRISE ON SUNDAY.
SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY, ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA, TURNING WINDS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST DURING
THE AFTERNOON. AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS INTO THE AREA, HUMIDITY MAY
DIP AS LOW AS 20% IN WESTERN ZONES (DAWSON, GOSPER, FURNAS
COUNTIES).
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURN SUNDAY EVENING. MANY CAMS KEEP THE
INITIAL DEVELOPMENT LARGELY SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...ALONG THE
FRONT...BUT A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP FURTHER NORTH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THAT SAID, COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED AND THE CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIP IS
LOW (20%).
LOW POPS LINGER IN SOUTHEASTERN AREAS DURING THE
DAYTIME MONDAY, BUT MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 60S...WHICH IS
15-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN THIS WEEKEND. A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN
SHOWERS ARRIVES IN THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, THANKS
TO MOISTURE AND LIFT AHEAD OF A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY TREND WARMER (POSSIBLY NEAR 80 AGAIN ON
THURSDAY), BUT THE TROUGH WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER COOLDOWN
AND ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES IN THIS TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS TAF PERIOD REMAINS WITH WINDS. CURRENTLY
HAVE DRY WEATHER WITH VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THIS PERIOD.
AREA OF PRECIP CURRENTLY ONGOING SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE
TERMINAL AREAS...BASED ON AREA OBS CEILINGS ARE AROUND 10K FT.
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH MODELS
SHOWING THE LLWS POTENTIAL ALSO CONTINUING...HAVE IT ENDING AT
12Z AT KEAR, 14Z AT KGRI. THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS, WINDS WILL
BE TURNING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONT..WHICH LOOKS TO SWITCHING WINDS TO THE WEST, THEN
NORTHWEST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH
WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT. EARLY EVENING THROUGH
THE END OF THE PERIOD, WINDS WILL TURN MORE
NORTHERLY...DIMINISHING IN SPEEDS TO CLOSER TO 10-15 MPH. PRECIP
CHANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOK TO REMAIN SSE
OF THE TERMINAL AREAS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...ADP
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