485
FXUS63 KGID 122048
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
348 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 30
MPH.
- A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE (15-20% CHANCE) LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THEN MOSTLY DRY
- MOST OF THE DAYTIME HOURS ARE DRY ON MONDAY, BUT COVERAGE OF
RAIN SHOWERS INCREASE DURING THE EVENING. PERIODS OF RAIN
CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
- WARMER ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WITH SPOTTY/LOW RAIN CHANCES.
- ANOTHER COOLDOWN AND CHANCE FOR RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 348 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
AS OF 330PM, THE COLD FRONT ROUGHLY STRETCHES FROM HILL CITY TO
HASTINGS TO COLUMBUS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING. A FEW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT
THIS EVENING, BUT THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING,
GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF PAST SUNSET. LATER TONIGHT, CAMS HINT
THAT A FEW MORE LIGHT SHOWERS. WITH RELATIVELY DRY AIR IN THE
LOW LEVELS, MOST LOCATIONS WILL JUST SEE SPRINKLES...IF
ANYTHING.
MONDAY WILL BE NOTICABLY COOLER THANKS TO THE POST-FRONTAL
AIRMASS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT DURING THE DAYTIME, BUT MOST AREAS WILL STAY DRY.
BETTER CHANCES (40-60%) FOR RAIN RETURN MONDAY EVENING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING AS MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING ARRIVE FROM
THE SW.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PAST SUNRISE ON
TUESDAY, BUT THERE ARE SOME MODELS (HRRR) THAT SHOW THESE
MOVING OUT A BIT QUICKER. REGARDLESS, DRIER CONDITIONS ARRIVE
FROM SW TO NORTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT, SOUTHERN AREAS MAY RETURN TO THE 70S...BUT AREAS OF
NORTHERN NEBRASKA MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 50 DEGREES.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE MOST OF THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE A
DRIER PERIOD, ALTHOUGH THE CHANCE FOR RAIN IS NOT ZERO.
CONTINUED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WITH A FEW WEAK
PERTURBATIONS COULD RESULT IN A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY BOUNCE BACK INTO THE 70S AND
EVEN LOW 80S.
A DEEP UPPER LOW THEN PUSHES A FRONTAL SYSTEM INTO THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY, BRINGING US A MORE ORGANIZED CHANCE FOR RAIN THURSDAY
EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT COULD
RESULT IN THE FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON FOR SOME AREAS NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE (95% CHANCE) IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH GRI/EAR THIS AFTERNOON,
TURNING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. GUSTS IN THE 25-30KT RANGE ARE
EXPECTED AT TIMES.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) FOR A FEW RAIN SHOWERS LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...MANGELS
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