904
FXUS63 KGID 172000
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
300 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND A COLD FRONT SATURDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH.
- WHILE MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR SPRINKLE WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92.
- TEMPERATURES MAY DIP BELOW FREEZING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, WITH AREAS OF FROST POSSIBLE AS FAR
EAST AS HIGHWAY 81. A FREEZE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
COUNTIES MOST LIKELY TO FREEZE AND A FROST ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
- NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER
ANTICIPATED SUNDAY ONWARDS, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS
POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025
CLEAR SKIES AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES PERSISTED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED EAST
INTO PORTIONS OF MISSOURI AND IOWA. EXPECT THIS PLEASANT WEATHER
TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS, WITH A SEASONABLY MILD NIGHT
IN STORE FOR THE REGION.
LOOKING UPSTREAM OF THE LOCAL AREA, THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
MONTANA AND WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS, BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND VERY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO THE REGION SATURDAY. WHILE
MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT, MODELS HINT A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES COULD BE SQUEEZED OUT ACROSS OUR FAR NORTH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, PRIMARILY IMPACTING AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY
92 ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. BY FAR, THE BIGGEST IMPACT OF
THE FRONT WILL BE THE SURGING NORTHWEST WINDS THAT WILL OVERTAKE
THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. LATEST HRRR HAS WINDS
GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35-40KTS BY MID-MORNING...WITH A WINDY
AFTERNOON IN STORE FOR THE REGION.
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS LATE THE DAY, WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY
EARLY EVENING, WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS SUGGESTING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RAPIDLY DROP OFF DURING THE EVENING
HOURS...WITH SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES EVEN POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN/WESTERN AREAS THAT WILL BE CLOSER TO THE AREA OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. GIVEN THE INCREASING CONFIDENCE OF AT
LEAST WIDESPREAD FROST, WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH
FOR THE PARTS OF THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES, BUT FULLY RECOGNIZE A FROST ADVISORY WILL
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FURTHER EAST OF THESE COUNTIES GIVEN THE
SET-UP.
AS WINDS THEN SHIFT AND BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY ON SUNDAY, EXPECT
A WARMER AIRMASS TO QUICKLY ADVECT BACK ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA,
RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. YET ANOTHER MAINLY DRY "COLD FRONT" IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA AGAIN ON MONDAY, BUT AGAIN, THE MAIN
IMPACT LOCALLY WILL BE THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IN ITS WAKE AS
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TO START THE WORK WEEK. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK CONTINUES TO
LOOK DRY WITH A SEE-SAW OF TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES AROUND
CLIMATOLOGY AS WEST NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ALOFT AND THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL LOW SLIDES MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA NEXT FRIDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
CLEAR SKIES AND GOOD VSBYS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PERIOD MAKING WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. EXPECT SOME
INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY, BUT
FOR THE MAIN STORY TO BE THE LIGHT WINDS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT
INCREASING BEHIND A COLD FRONT...GUSTING 30 KTS+ AT BOTH
TERMINALS AFT 18/16Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...FREEZE WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NEZ039-040-046-060-061-072-073-082.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR
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